Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological services indicate a highest temperature near 25°C for Qingdao on September 26, with cloudy skies and light winds limiting daytime heating after rain on the 24th–25th. Model consensus points to modest recovery from cooler, unsettled conditions driven by a passing trough, keeping maxima in the mid-20s rather than pushing toward seasonal peaks near 28°C. Cloud cover, humidity from the Yellow Sea, and variable steering winds create narrow uncertainty around the daily maximum, consistent with the closely matched market-implied odds favoring 25–27°C. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global models will refine the exact peak as the date approaches.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Qingdao on September 26?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on September 26?
26°C 40%
24°C 25%
27°C 23%
25°C 22%
NEW
NEW
Sep 26, 2026
21°C or below
3%
22°C
4%
23°C
4%
24°C
25%
25°C
22%
26°C
40%
27°C
23%
28°C
16%
29°C
12%
30°C
5%
31°C or higher
21%
26°C 40%
24°C 25%
27°C 23%
25°C 22%
NEW
NEW
Sep 26, 2026
21°C or below
$0 Vol.
3%
22°C
$0 Vol.
4%
23°C
$0 Vol.
4%
24°C
$0 Vol.
25%
25°C
$0 Vol.
22%
26°C
$34 Vol.
40%
27°C
$0 Vol.
23%
28°C
$5 Vol.
16%
29°C
$0 Vol.
12%
30°C
$0 Vol.
5%
31°C or higher
$0 Vol.
21%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological services indicate a highest temperature near 25°C for Qingdao on September 26, with cloudy skies and light winds limiting daytime heating after rain on the 24th–25th. Model consensus points to modest recovery from cooler, unsettled conditions driven by a passing trough, keeping maxima in the mid-20s rather than pushing toward seasonal peaks near 28°C. Cloud cover, humidity from the Yellow Sea, and variable steering winds create narrow uncertainty around the daily maximum, consistent with the closely matched market-implied odds favoring 25–27°C. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global models will refine the exact peak as the date approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$39End Date
Sep 26, 2026Market Opened
Sep 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological services indicate a highest temperature near 25°C for Qingdao on September 26, with cloudy skies and light winds limiting daytime heating after rain on the 24th–25th. Model consensus points to modest recovery from cooler, unsettled conditions driven by a passing trough, keeping maxima in the mid-20s rather than pushing toward seasonal peaks near 28°C. Cloud cover, humidity from the Yellow Sea, and variable steering winds create narrow uncertainty around the daily maximum, consistent with the closely matched market-implied odds favoring 25–27°C. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global models will refine the exact peak as the date approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$39End Date
Sep 26, 2026Market Opened
Sep 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47de9d...Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological services indicate a highest temperature near 25°C for Qingdao on September 26, with cloudy skies and light winds limiting daytime heating after rain on the 24th–25th. Model consensus points to modest recovery from cooler, unsettled conditions driven by a passing trough, keeping maxima in the mid-20s rather than pushing toward seasonal peaks near 28°C. Cloud cover, humidity from the Yellow Sea, and variable steering winds create narrow uncertainty around the daily maximum, consistent with the closely matched market-implied odds favoring 25–27°C. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global models will refine the exact peak as the date approaches.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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