Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a stable high-pressure regime over northern Italy through September 26, supporting mostly clear skies, light easterly winds of 4–8 km/h, and strong daytime insolation that drives afternoon maximum temperatures in Milan. This setup favors a peak near 23–24 °C, consistent with late-September climatology where average highs reach about 22 °C. Traders’ closely matched odds across 22–25 °C reflect minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing, exact cloud timing, and urban heat-island effects that can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Updated runs from agencies like ECMWF and GFS, expected within the next 24–48 hours, will likely refine the consensus ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Milan on September 26?
Highest temperature in Milan on September 26?
23°C 35%
24°C 24%
25°C 20%
22°C 18%
NEW
NEW
Sep 26, 2026
18°C or below
4%
19°C
4%
20°C
4%
21°C
15%
22°C
18%
23°C
35%
24°C
24%
25°C
20%
26°C
7%
27°C
5%
28°C or higher
8%
23°C 35%
24°C 24%
25°C 20%
22°C 18%
NEW
NEW
Sep 26, 2026
18°C or below
$0 Vol.
4%
19°C
$0 Vol.
4%
20°C
$0 Vol.
4%
21°C
$0 Vol.
15%
22°C
$0 Vol.
18%
23°C
$0 Vol.
35%
24°C
$0 Vol.
24%
25°C
$0 Vol.
20%
26°C
$0 Vol.
7%
27°C
$0 Vol.
5%
28°C or higher
$0 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a stable high-pressure regime over northern Italy through September 26, supporting mostly clear skies, light easterly winds of 4–8 km/h, and strong daytime insolation that drives afternoon maximum temperatures in Milan. This setup favors a peak near 23–24 °C, consistent with late-September climatology where average highs reach about 22 °C. Traders’ closely matched odds across 22–25 °C reflect minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing, exact cloud timing, and urban heat-island effects that can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Updated runs from agencies like ECMWF and GFS, expected within the next 24–48 hours, will likely refine the consensus ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 26, 2026Market Opened
Sep 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a stable high-pressure regime over northern Italy through September 26, supporting mostly clear skies, light easterly winds of 4–8 km/h, and strong daytime insolation that drives afternoon maximum temperatures in Milan. This setup favors a peak near 23–24 °C, consistent with late-September climatology where average highs reach about 22 °C. Traders’ closely matched odds across 22–25 °C reflect minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing, exact cloud timing, and urban heat-island effects that can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Updated runs from agencies like ECMWF and GFS, expected within the next 24–48 hours, will likely refine the consensus ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 26, 2026Market Opened
Sep 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47de9d...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a stable high-pressure regime over northern Italy through September 26, supporting mostly clear skies, light easterly winds of 4–8 km/h, and strong daytime insolation that drives afternoon maximum temperatures in Milan. This setup favors a peak near 23–24 °C, consistent with late-September climatology where average highs reach about 22 °C. Traders’ closely matched odds across 22–25 °C reflect minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing, exact cloud timing, and urban heat-island effects that can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Updated runs from agencies like ECMWF and GFS, expected within the next 24–48 hours, will likely refine the consensus ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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