Recent National Weather Service and private forecasts indicate mostly sunny skies with a 30-40% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms for Miami on September 26, supported by northerly to northeasterly winds of 10-15 mph that limit extreme heating while allowing daytime warming. Model consensus points to highs in the upper 80s, consistent with late-September climatology near 86-88°F and current sea-surface temperatures that sustain typical humidity-driven instability without major steering influences from tropical systems. This setup positions 88-89°F as the strongest market-implied outcome at 50%, with lower ranges reflecting downside risks from increased cloud cover or earlier convection, and higher bins tied to any unexpected suppression of storms. Updated NWS briefings and next model runs will provide the primary near-term catalysts for shifts in trader sentiment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Miami on September 26?
Highest temperature in Miami on September 26?
88-89°F 51%
90-91°F 23%
86-87°F 21%
82-83°F 14%
NEW
NEW
Sep 26, 2026
75°F or below
3%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
5%
82-83°F
14%
84-85°F
14%
86-87°F
21%
88-89°F
51%
90-91°F
23%
92-93°F
8%
94°F or higher
7%
88-89°F 51%
90-91°F 23%
86-87°F 21%
82-83°F 14%
NEW
NEW
Sep 26, 2026
75°F or below
$0 Vol.
3%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
5%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
5%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
5%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
14%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
14%
86-87°F
$0 Vol.
21%
88-89°F
$256 Vol.
51%
90-91°F
$0 Vol.
23%
92-93°F
$0 Vol.
8%
94°F or higher
$0 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private forecasts indicate mostly sunny skies with a 30-40% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms for Miami on September 26, supported by northerly to northeasterly winds of 10-15 mph that limit extreme heating while allowing daytime warming. Model consensus points to highs in the upper 80s, consistent with late-September climatology near 86-88°F and current sea-surface temperatures that sustain typical humidity-driven instability without major steering influences from tropical systems. This setup positions 88-89°F as the strongest market-implied outcome at 50%, with lower ranges reflecting downside risks from increased cloud cover or earlier convection, and higher bins tied to any unexpected suppression of storms. Updated NWS briefings and next model runs will provide the primary near-term catalysts for shifts in trader sentiment.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 24, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volume
$256End Date
Sep 26, 2026Market Opened
Sep 24, 2026, 3:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private forecasts indicate mostly sunny skies with a 30-40% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms for Miami on September 26, supported by northerly to northeasterly winds of 10-15 mph that limit extreme heating while allowing daytime warming. Model consensus points to highs in the upper 80s, consistent with late-September climatology near 86-88°F and current sea-surface temperatures that sustain typical humidity-driven instability without major steering influences from tropical systems. This setup positions 88-89°F as the strongest market-implied outcome at 50%, with lower ranges reflecting downside risks from increased cloud cover or earlier convection, and higher bins tied to any unexpected suppression of storms. Updated NWS briefings and next model runs will provide the primary near-term catalysts for shifts in trader sentiment.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$256End Date
Sep 26, 2026Market Opened
Sep 24, 2026, 3:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47de9d...Recent National Weather Service and private forecasts indicate mostly sunny skies with a 30-40% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms for Miami on September 26, supported by northerly to northeasterly winds of 10-15 mph that limit extreme heating while allowing daytime warming. Model consensus points to highs in the upper 80s, consistent with late-September climatology near 86-88°F and current sea-surface temperatures that sustain typical humidity-driven instability without major steering influences from tropical systems. This setup positions 88-89°F as the strongest market-implied outcome at 50%, with lower ranges reflecting downside risks from increased cloud cover or earlier convection, and higher bins tied to any unexpected suppression of storms. Updated NWS briefings and next model runs will provide the primary near-term catalysts for shifts in trader sentiment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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