Forecast models from agencies like the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and ECMWF show Moscow maximum temperatures on August 11 clustered near 24–26 °C, consistent with late-summer climatology of 22–24 °C highs and typical diurnal ranges of 10–12 °C. Ensemble spreads arise mainly from uncertain cloud cover, weak frontal passages, and variable boundary-layer mixing that can shift peak readings by 1–2 °C; recent 48-hour runs indicate light precipitation potential suppressing maxima slightly below seasonal norms while urban heat-island effects in central Moscow may add marginal warming. With no strong blocking high or heat advection expected, the tightly bunched 20 % probabilities around 24–26 °C reflect this modest forecast uncertainty rather than any single dominant driver.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Moscow on August 11?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 11?
24°C 21%
25°C 21%
23°C 15%
22°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 11, 2026
21°C or below
5%
22°C
11%
23°C
15%
24°C
21%
25°C
21%
26°C
7%
27°C
4%
28°C
3%
29°C
5%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
2%
24°C 21%
25°C 21%
23°C 15%
22°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 11, 2026
21°C or below
$26 Vol.
5%
22°C
$4 Vol.
11%
23°C
$0 Vol.
15%
24°C
$0 Vol.
21%
25°C
$0 Vol.
21%
26°C
$0 Vol.
7%
27°C
$5 Vol.
4%
28°C
$16 Vol.
3%
29°C
$27 Vol.
5%
30°C
$17 Vol.
2%
31°C or higher
$17 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and ECMWF show Moscow maximum temperatures on August 11 clustered near 24–26 °C, consistent with late-summer climatology of 22–24 °C highs and typical diurnal ranges of 10–12 °C. Ensemble spreads arise mainly from uncertain cloud cover, weak frontal passages, and variable boundary-layer mixing that can shift peak readings by 1–2 °C; recent 48-hour runs indicate light precipitation potential suppressing maxima slightly below seasonal norms while urban heat-island effects in central Moscow may add marginal warming. With no strong blocking high or heat advection expected, the tightly bunched 20 % probabilities around 24–26 °C reflect this modest forecast uncertainty rather than any single dominant driver.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 9, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$111End Date
Aug 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 9, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and ECMWF show Moscow maximum temperatures on August 11 clustered near 24–26 °C, consistent with late-summer climatology of 22–24 °C highs and typical diurnal ranges of 10–12 °C. Ensemble spreads arise mainly from uncertain cloud cover, weak frontal passages, and variable boundary-layer mixing that can shift peak readings by 1–2 °C; recent 48-hour runs indicate light precipitation potential suppressing maxima slightly below seasonal norms while urban heat-island effects in central Moscow may add marginal warming. With no strong blocking high or heat advection expected, the tightly bunched 20 % probabilities around 24–26 °C reflect this modest forecast uncertainty rather than any single dominant driver.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$111End Date
Aug 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 9, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies like the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and ECMWF show Moscow maximum temperatures on August 11 clustered near 24–26 °C, consistent with late-summer climatology of 22–24 °C highs and typical diurnal ranges of 10–12 °C. Ensemble spreads arise mainly from uncertain cloud cover, weak frontal passages, and variable boundary-layer mixing that can shift peak readings by 1–2 °C; recent 48-hour runs indicate light precipitation potential suppressing maxima slightly below seasonal norms while urban heat-island effects in central Moscow may add marginal warming. With no strong blocking high or heat advection expected, the tightly bunched 20 % probabilities around 24–26 °C reflect this modest forecast uncertainty rather than any single dominant driver.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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