Traders see closely matched odds for 39–41°C+ as the most likely outcomes for Jeddah’s August 12 peak because regional forecast models, including those referenced for the prior day, cluster in the upper 30s to low 40s °C under typical August conditions. Coastal Red Sea moderation, high humidity, and light winds limit extreme spikes, while an ongoing El Niño phase supports above-average warmth across the Arabian Peninsula according to WMO updates. Historical August maxima near 38°C provide baseline context, yet recent National Center for Meteorology guidance for hotter-than-normal conditions this month raises the chance of brief peaks at or above 40°C. Minor day-to-day shifts in cloud cover or steering winds will determine whether the high settles at 39°C or pushes into the 41°C+ bin before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jeddah on August 12?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on August 12?
40°C 26%
41°C or higher 25%
39°C 23%
38°C 19%
NEW
NEW
Aug 12, 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
1%
36°C
2%
37°C
6%
38°C
19%
39°C
23%
40°C
26%
41°C or higher
25%
40°C 26%
41°C or higher 25%
39°C 23%
38°C 19%
NEW
NEW
Aug 12, 2026
31°C or below
$366 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$356 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$71 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$28 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$1,053 Vol.
1%
36°C
$219 Vol.
2%
37°C
$247 Vol.
6%
38°C
$32 Vol.
19%
39°C
$22 Vol.
23%
40°C
$0 Vol.
26%
41°C or higher
$149 Vol.
25%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see closely matched odds for 39–41°C+ as the most likely outcomes for Jeddah’s August 12 peak because regional forecast models, including those referenced for the prior day, cluster in the upper 30s to low 40s °C under typical August conditions. Coastal Red Sea moderation, high humidity, and light winds limit extreme spikes, while an ongoing El Niño phase supports above-average warmth across the Arabian Peninsula according to WMO updates. Historical August maxima near 38°C provide baseline context, yet recent National Center for Meteorology guidance for hotter-than-normal conditions this month raises the chance of brief peaks at or above 40°C. Minor day-to-day shifts in cloud cover or steering winds will determine whether the high settles at 39°C or pushes into the 41°C+ bin before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 10, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$2,542End Date
Aug 12, 2026Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see closely matched odds for 39–41°C+ as the most likely outcomes for Jeddah’s August 12 peak because regional forecast models, including those referenced for the prior day, cluster in the upper 30s to low 40s °C under typical August conditions. Coastal Red Sea moderation, high humidity, and light winds limit extreme spikes, while an ongoing El Niño phase supports above-average warmth across the Arabian Peninsula according to WMO updates. Historical August maxima near 38°C provide baseline context, yet recent National Center for Meteorology guidance for hotter-than-normal conditions this month raises the chance of brief peaks at or above 40°C. Minor day-to-day shifts in cloud cover or steering winds will determine whether the high settles at 39°C or pushes into the 41°C+ bin before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,542End Date
Aug 12, 2026Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see closely matched odds for 39–41°C+ as the most likely outcomes for Jeddah’s August 12 peak because regional forecast models, including those referenced for the prior day, cluster in the upper 30s to low 40s °C under typical August conditions. Coastal Red Sea moderation, high humidity, and light winds limit extreme spikes, while an ongoing El Niño phase supports above-average warmth across the Arabian Peninsula according to WMO updates. Historical August maxima near 38°C provide baseline context, yet recent National Center for Meteorology guidance for hotter-than-normal conditions this month raises the chance of brief peaks at or above 40°C. Minor day-to-day shifts in cloud cover or steering winds will determine whether the high settles at 39°C or pushes into the 41°C+ bin before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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