**Trader sentiment for Munich's highest temperature on August 12 centers on 29–31°C outcomes, reflecting model consensus around 28–29°C amid a late-summer warm spell.** Recent hot conditions, including a 34°C reading on August 5, have elevated expectations above the city's typical August high of 23–25°C. Official guidance from agencies like the German Weather Service (DWD) and ensemble forecasts point to mostly clear skies, aided by a partial solar eclipse, with daytime maxima near 27–29°C and limited cooling from light winds or scattered showers. Key variables include short-range model updates on cloud cover and any lingering heat advection from central Europe. These factors keep 30°C the implied favorite while allowing room for 31°C or 29°C shifts as new data arrives before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on August 12?
30°C 50%
31°C 24%
29°C 21%
32°C 5%
26°C or below
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
4%
29°C
21%
30°C
50%
31°C
24%
32°C
5%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
30°C 50%
31°C 24%
29°C 21%
32°C 5%
26°C or below
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
4%
29°C
21%
30°C
50%
31°C
24%
32°C
5%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Munich's highest temperature on August 12 centers on 29–31°C outcomes, reflecting model consensus around 28–29°C amid a late-summer warm spell.** Recent hot conditions, including a 34°C reading on August 5, have elevated expectations above the city's typical August high of 23–25°C. Official guidance from agencies like the German Weather Service (DWD) and ensemble forecasts point to mostly clear skies, aided by a partial solar eclipse, with daytime maxima near 27–29°C and limited cooling from light winds or scattered showers. Key variables include short-range model updates on cloud cover and any lingering heat advection from central Europe. These factors keep 30°C the implied favorite while allowing room for 31°C or 29°C shifts as new data arrives before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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