Current forecast models from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and international providers indicate a maximum temperature of 32–33°C in Tel Aviv on August 14, 2026, consistent with the market's dominant implied probabilities for those outcomes. In the city's Mediterranean climate, mid-August typically brings stable high-pressure systems, clear skies, and light winds that support seasonal warming to around 30–32°C, with minimal deviation expected absent incoming fronts or anomalous heat advection. Recent model consensus shows no extreme heatwave signals for the date, keeping 34°C and above at low probabilities while limiting downside risk below 32°C. Updated runs ahead of the weekend will refine any subtle shifts in steering patterns or boundary-layer conditions before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 14?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 14?
33°C 56%
32°C 36%
34°C 11%
36°C 2%
NEW
NEW
Aug 14, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
36%
33°C
56%
34°C
11%
35°C
2%
36°C
2%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 56%
32°C 36%
34°C 11%
36°C 2%
NEW
NEW
Aug 14, 2026
29°C or below
$40 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$45 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$163 Vol.
2%
32°C
$180 Vol.
36%
33°C
$248 Vol.
56%
34°C
$167 Vol.
11%
35°C
$79 Vol.
2%
36°C
$20 Vol.
2%
37°C
$45 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$67 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$110 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and international providers indicate a maximum temperature of 32–33°C in Tel Aviv on August 14, 2026, consistent with the market's dominant implied probabilities for those outcomes. In the city's Mediterranean climate, mid-August typically brings stable high-pressure systems, clear skies, and light winds that support seasonal warming to around 30–32°C, with minimal deviation expected absent incoming fronts or anomalous heat advection. Recent model consensus shows no extreme heatwave signals for the date, keeping 34°C and above at low probabilities while limiting downside risk below 32°C. Updated runs ahead of the weekend will refine any subtle shifts in steering patterns or boundary-layer conditions before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$878End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and international providers indicate a maximum temperature of 32–33°C in Tel Aviv on August 14, 2026, consistent with the market's dominant implied probabilities for those outcomes. In the city's Mediterranean climate, mid-August typically brings stable high-pressure systems, clear skies, and light winds that support seasonal warming to around 30–32°C, with minimal deviation expected absent incoming fronts or anomalous heat advection. Recent model consensus shows no extreme heatwave signals for the date, keeping 34°C and above at low probabilities while limiting downside risk below 32°C. Updated runs ahead of the weekend will refine any subtle shifts in steering patterns or boundary-layer conditions before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$878End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and international providers indicate a maximum temperature of 32–33°C in Tel Aviv on August 14, 2026, consistent with the market's dominant implied probabilities for those outcomes. In the city's Mediterranean climate, mid-August typically brings stable high-pressure systems, clear skies, and light winds that support seasonal warming to around 30–32°C, with minimal deviation expected absent incoming fronts or anomalous heat advection. Recent model consensus shows no extreme heatwave signals for the date, keeping 34°C and above at low probabilities while limiting downside risk below 32°C. Updated runs ahead of the weekend will refine any subtle shifts in steering patterns or boundary-layer conditions before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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