Recent forecasts from models and agencies highlight heavy rainfall and associated cooling across Beijing from August 11–13, suppressing maximum temperatures below the seasonal average near 30°C. Cloud cover, increased humidity, and northeasterly flow limit daytime heating, with current guidance pointing to highs of 26–28°C on the 13th amid moderate to heavy precipitation. This near-term shift creates tight clustering of market-implied odds across 28–31°C outcomes, as traders weigh ensemble spread in steering patterns and rainfall timing against climatological baselines. Official updates from monitoring services over the next 24–48 hours will refine intensity and exact thermal profiles ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Beijing on August 13?
Highest temperature in Beijing on August 13?
30°C 23%
31°C 22%
29°C 16%
32°C or higher 16%
NEW
NEW
Aug 13, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
6%
27°C
10%
28°C
11%
29°C
16%
30°C
23%
31°C
22%
32°C or higher
16%
30°C 23%
31°C 22%
29°C 16%
32°C or higher 16%
NEW
NEW
Aug 13, 2026
22°C or below
$542 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$46 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$703 Vol.
1%
25°C
$219 Vol.
3%
26°C
$305 Vol.
6%
27°C
$444 Vol.
10%
28°C
$480 Vol.
11%
29°C
$455 Vol.
16%
30°C
$161 Vol.
23%
31°C
$278 Vol.
22%
32°C or higher
$1,790 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models and agencies highlight heavy rainfall and associated cooling across Beijing from August 11–13, suppressing maximum temperatures below the seasonal average near 30°C. Cloud cover, increased humidity, and northeasterly flow limit daytime heating, with current guidance pointing to highs of 26–28°C on the 13th amid moderate to heavy precipitation. This near-term shift creates tight clustering of market-implied odds across 28–31°C outcomes, as traders weigh ensemble spread in steering patterns and rainfall timing against climatological baselines. Official updates from monitoring services over the next 24–48 hours will refine intensity and exact thermal profiles ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$5,423End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models and agencies highlight heavy rainfall and associated cooling across Beijing from August 11–13, suppressing maximum temperatures below the seasonal average near 30°C. Cloud cover, increased humidity, and northeasterly flow limit daytime heating, with current guidance pointing to highs of 26–28°C on the 13th amid moderate to heavy precipitation. This near-term shift creates tight clustering of market-implied odds across 28–31°C outcomes, as traders weigh ensemble spread in steering patterns and rainfall timing against climatological baselines. Official updates from monitoring services over the next 24–48 hours will refine intensity and exact thermal profiles ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,423End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models and agencies highlight heavy rainfall and associated cooling across Beijing from August 11–13, suppressing maximum temperatures below the seasonal average near 30°C. Cloud cover, increased humidity, and northeasterly flow limit daytime heating, with current guidance pointing to highs of 26–28°C on the 13th amid moderate to heavy precipitation. This near-term shift creates tight clustering of market-implied odds across 28–31°C outcomes, as traders weigh ensemble spread in steering patterns and rainfall timing against climatological baselines. Official updates from monitoring services over the next 24–48 hours will refine intensity and exact thermal profiles ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions