Jeddah's peak August heat stems from intense solar radiation near the summer solstice combined with high humidity from the adjacent Red Sea, which limits nocturnal cooling and elevates daily maxima. Long-term climatology shows average highs near 37–38°C, with occasional spikes above 40°C driven by weak steering winds or regional heat advection. Current forecasts through mid-month indicate potential for 39–41°C readings on August 13 amid stable high-pressure patterns, supporting the market's leading 41°C-or-higher outcome at 42% implied probability. Model consensus remains moderate due to typical variability in Red Sea moisture and wind regimes, keeping 39°C and 38°C viable at 19% and 14.5% respectively. Traders weigh official meteorological agency guidance on diurnal ranges and any late adjustments to upper-level ridging that could push or cap extremes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jeddah on August 13?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on August 13?
41°C or higher 43%
39°C 18%
40°C 16%
38°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Aug 13, 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
1%
37°C
6%
38°C
14%
39°C
18%
40°C
16%
41°C or higher
43%
41°C or higher 43%
39°C 18%
40°C 16%
38°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Aug 13, 2026
31°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$692 Vol.
1%
37°C
$107 Vol.
6%
38°C
$56 Vol.
14%
39°C
$65 Vol.
18%
40°C
$71 Vol.
16%
41°C or higher
$96 Vol.
43%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Jeddah's peak August heat stems from intense solar radiation near the summer solstice combined with high humidity from the adjacent Red Sea, which limits nocturnal cooling and elevates daily maxima. Long-term climatology shows average highs near 37–38°C, with occasional spikes above 40°C driven by weak steering winds or regional heat advection. Current forecasts through mid-month indicate potential for 39–41°C readings on August 13 amid stable high-pressure patterns, supporting the market's leading 41°C-or-higher outcome at 42% implied probability. Model consensus remains moderate due to typical variability in Red Sea moisture and wind regimes, keeping 39°C and 38°C viable at 19% and 14.5% respectively. Traders weigh official meteorological agency guidance on diurnal ranges and any late adjustments to upper-level ridging that could push or cap extremes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 11, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Volume
$1,072End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 1:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Jeddah's peak August heat stems from intense solar radiation near the summer solstice combined with high humidity from the adjacent Red Sea, which limits nocturnal cooling and elevates daily maxima. Long-term climatology shows average highs near 37–38°C, with occasional spikes above 40°C driven by weak steering winds or regional heat advection. Current forecasts through mid-month indicate potential for 39–41°C readings on August 13 amid stable high-pressure patterns, supporting the market's leading 41°C-or-higher outcome at 42% implied probability. Model consensus remains moderate due to typical variability in Red Sea moisture and wind regimes, keeping 39°C and 38°C viable at 19% and 14.5% respectively. Traders weigh official meteorological agency guidance on diurnal ranges and any late adjustments to upper-level ridging that could push or cap extremes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,072End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 1:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Jeddah's peak August heat stems from intense solar radiation near the summer solstice combined with high humidity from the adjacent Red Sea, which limits nocturnal cooling and elevates daily maxima. Long-term climatology shows average highs near 37–38°C, with occasional spikes above 40°C driven by weak steering winds or regional heat advection. Current forecasts through mid-month indicate potential for 39–41°C readings on August 13 amid stable high-pressure patterns, supporting the market's leading 41°C-or-higher outcome at 42% implied probability. Model consensus remains moderate due to typical variability in Red Sea moisture and wind regimes, keeping 39°C and 38°C viable at 19% and 14.5% respectively. Traders weigh official meteorological agency guidance on diurnal ranges and any late adjustments to upper-level ridging that could push or cap extremes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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