Current short-range forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models place the August 13 overnight minimum near 27–29 °C, with 28 °C as the consensus value amid typical summer humidity and limited nocturnal radiative cooling. Persistent high pressure and the absence of tropical cyclone or cold-surge influences maintain above-normal temperatures consistent with the seasonal outlook, while scattered showers could modestly enhance cooling in some scenarios. The tight market clustering around 28–29 °C reflects genuine uncertainty in model runs and microscale variations, with resolution hinging on the official minimum recorded at the designated station. Updated guidance expected within the next 24 hours may refine probabilities ahead of settlement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 13?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 13?
28°C 42%
29°C 35%
27°C 16%
30°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 13, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
3%
27°C
16%
28°C
42%
29°C
35%
30°C
7%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 42%
29°C 35%
27°C 16%
30°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 13, 2026
22°C or below
$202 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$102 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$227 Vol.
1%
25°C
$680 Vol.
2%
26°C
$85 Vol.
3%
27°C
$116 Vol.
16%
28°C
$1,595 Vol.
42%
29°C
$2,221 Vol.
35%
30°C
$1,524 Vol.
7%
31°C
$236 Vol.
1%
32°C or higher
$734 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current short-range forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models place the August 13 overnight minimum near 27–29 °C, with 28 °C as the consensus value amid typical summer humidity and limited nocturnal radiative cooling. Persistent high pressure and the absence of tropical cyclone or cold-surge influences maintain above-normal temperatures consistent with the seasonal outlook, while scattered showers could modestly enhance cooling in some scenarios. The tight market clustering around 28–29 °C reflects genuine uncertainty in model runs and microscale variations, with resolution hinging on the official minimum recorded at the designated station. Updated guidance expected within the next 24 hours may refine probabilities ahead of settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$7,721End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current short-range forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models place the August 13 overnight minimum near 27–29 °C, with 28 °C as the consensus value amid typical summer humidity and limited nocturnal radiative cooling. Persistent high pressure and the absence of tropical cyclone or cold-surge influences maintain above-normal temperatures consistent with the seasonal outlook, while scattered showers could modestly enhance cooling in some scenarios. The tight market clustering around 28–29 °C reflects genuine uncertainty in model runs and microscale variations, with resolution hinging on the official minimum recorded at the designated station. Updated guidance expected within the next 24 hours may refine probabilities ahead of settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$7,721End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models place the August 13 overnight minimum near 27–29 °C, with 28 °C as the consensus value amid typical summer humidity and limited nocturnal radiative cooling. Persistent high pressure and the absence of tropical cyclone or cold-surge influences maintain above-normal temperatures consistent with the seasonal outlook, while scattered showers could modestly enhance cooling in some scenarios. The tight market clustering around 28–29 °C reflects genuine uncertainty in model runs and microscale variations, with resolution hinging on the official minimum recorded at the designated station. Updated guidance expected within the next 24 hours may refine probabilities ahead of settlement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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