Latest short-range model consensus from GFS and ECMWF indicates a daytime maximum of 11–12°C in Buenos Aires on August 13 under persistent mid-winter conditions with overcast skies and light easterly flow. This pattern limits diurnal warming compared to the August average of 16–17°C, keeping maxima near or slightly below seasonal norms. Traders have concentrated implied probability on 11°C (52%) and 12°C (33%) as a result, reflecting the narrow range of expected outcomes and low likelihood of significant deviation without a rapid synoptic shift. Updated model runs and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance ahead of the 24-hour forecast window will provide the next key data points for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 13?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 13?
12°C 41%
11°C 38%
13°C 12%
10°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 13, 2026
7°C or below
1%
8°C
4%
9°C
2%
10°C
10%
11°C
38%
12°C
41%
13°C
12%
14°C
2%
15°C
4%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
12°C 41%
11°C 38%
13°C 12%
10°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 13, 2026
7°C or below
$205 Vol.
1%
8°C
$40 Vol.
4%
9°C
$23 Vol.
2%
10°C
$44 Vol.
10%
11°C
$1,011 Vol.
38%
12°C
$150 Vol.
41%
13°C
$114 Vol.
12%
14°C
$72 Vol.
2%
15°C
$48 Vol.
4%
16°C
$114 Vol.
<1%
17°C or higher
$85 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest short-range model consensus from GFS and ECMWF indicates a daytime maximum of 11–12°C in Buenos Aires on August 13 under persistent mid-winter conditions with overcast skies and light easterly flow. This pattern limits diurnal warming compared to the August average of 16–17°C, keeping maxima near or slightly below seasonal norms. Traders have concentrated implied probability on 11°C (52%) and 12°C (33%) as a result, reflecting the narrow range of expected outcomes and low likelihood of significant deviation without a rapid synoptic shift. Updated model runs and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance ahead of the 24-hour forecast window will provide the next key data points for resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 11, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$1,775End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest short-range model consensus from GFS and ECMWF indicates a daytime maximum of 11–12°C in Buenos Aires on August 13 under persistent mid-winter conditions with overcast skies and light easterly flow. This pattern limits diurnal warming compared to the August average of 16–17°C, keeping maxima near or slightly below seasonal norms. Traders have concentrated implied probability on 11°C (52%) and 12°C (33%) as a result, reflecting the narrow range of expected outcomes and low likelihood of significant deviation without a rapid synoptic shift. Updated model runs and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance ahead of the 24-hour forecast window will provide the next key data points for resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,775End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest short-range model consensus from GFS and ECMWF indicates a daytime maximum of 11–12°C in Buenos Aires on August 13 under persistent mid-winter conditions with overcast skies and light easterly flow. This pattern limits diurnal warming compared to the August average of 16–17°C, keeping maxima near or slightly below seasonal norms. Traders have concentrated implied probability on 11°C (52%) and 12°C (33%) as a result, reflecting the narrow range of expected outcomes and low likelihood of significant deviation without a rapid synoptic shift. Updated model runs and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance ahead of the 24-hour forecast window will provide the next key data points for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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