Official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts project a 25°C minimum for Incheon-Seoul on August 14 under mostly cloudy skies amid the lingering summer heatwave, with highs near 34°C. Trader consensus clustering around 24–25°C reflects minor model spreads in nocturnal radiative cooling rates, where elevated humidity and limited clear-sky windows may suppress temperature drops below climatological 23–24°C averages. Recent high-pressure subsidence and weak northeasterly flow have sustained elevated overnight readings, while any increase in low-level moisture or isolated showers could further moderate the low. Short-term ensemble updates from KMA and global models will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 14?
25°C 56%
24°C 31%
26°C 22%
27°C 10%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
7%
24°C
31%
25°C
39%
26°C
22%
27°C
10%
28°C
2%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 56%
24°C 31%
26°C 22%
27°C 10%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
7%
24°C
31%
25°C
39%
26°C
22%
27°C
10%
28°C
2%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts project a 25°C minimum for Incheon-Seoul on August 14 under mostly cloudy skies amid the lingering summer heatwave, with highs near 34°C. Trader consensus clustering around 24–25°C reflects minor model spreads in nocturnal radiative cooling rates, where elevated humidity and limited clear-sky windows may suppress temperature drops below climatological 23–24°C averages. Recent high-pressure subsidence and weak northeasterly flow have sustained elevated overnight readings, while any increase in low-level moisture or isolated showers could further moderate the low. Short-term ensemble updates from KMA and global models will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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