Current forecasts from agencies like Météo-France and ensemble models show Paris under persistent high-pressure and warm advection, with the daily minimum temperature on August 14 most likely reaching 21–22 °C. These conditions stem from a regional heat wave that has kept overnight lows elevated well above the August climatological average of 15–16 °C, limiting radiative cooling. Slight differences among leading outcomes hinge on the precise timing of any weak frontal passage or increased cloud cover that could nudge the low a degree cooler or warmer. Traders are pricing the narrow spread because latest model runs remain tightly clustered, with resolution depending on the official 24-hour minimum recorded at Paris stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Paris on August 14?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 14?
21°C 32%
22°C 32%
23°C 20%
20°C or below 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 14, 2026
20°C or below
13%
21°C
32%
22°C
32%
23°C
20%
24°C
6%
25°C
2%
26°C
5%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
21°C 32%
22°C 32%
23°C 20%
20°C or below 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 14, 2026
20°C or below
$112 Vol.
13%
21°C
$775 Vol.
32%
22°C
$124 Vol.
32%
23°C
$74 Vol.
20%
24°C
$83 Vol.
6%
25°C
$355 Vol.
2%
26°C
$165 Vol.
5%
27°C
$200 Vol.
1%
28°C
$72 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$72 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$72 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from agencies like Météo-France and ensemble models show Paris under persistent high-pressure and warm advection, with the daily minimum temperature on August 14 most likely reaching 21–22 °C. These conditions stem from a regional heat wave that has kept overnight lows elevated well above the August climatological average of 15–16 °C, limiting radiative cooling. Slight differences among leading outcomes hinge on the precise timing of any weak frontal passage or increased cloud cover that could nudge the low a degree cooler or warmer. Traders are pricing the narrow spread because latest model runs remain tightly clustered, with resolution depending on the official 24-hour minimum recorded at Paris stations.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 1:30 AM ET
Volume
$2,103End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 1:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from agencies like Météo-France and ensemble models show Paris under persistent high-pressure and warm advection, with the daily minimum temperature on August 14 most likely reaching 21–22 °C. These conditions stem from a regional heat wave that has kept overnight lows elevated well above the August climatological average of 15–16 °C, limiting radiative cooling. Slight differences among leading outcomes hinge on the precise timing of any weak frontal passage or increased cloud cover that could nudge the low a degree cooler or warmer. Traders are pricing the narrow spread because latest model runs remain tightly clustered, with resolution depending on the official 24-hour minimum recorded at Paris stations.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,103End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 1:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from agencies like Météo-France and ensemble models show Paris under persistent high-pressure and warm advection, with the daily minimum temperature on August 14 most likely reaching 21–22 °C. These conditions stem from a regional heat wave that has kept overnight lows elevated well above the August climatological average of 15–16 °C, limiting radiative cooling. Slight differences among leading outcomes hinge on the precise timing of any weak frontal passage or increased cloud cover that could nudge the low a degree cooler or warmer. Traders are pricing the narrow spread because latest model runs remain tightly clustered, with resolution depending on the official 24-hour minimum recorded at Paris stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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