Latest ensemble forecasts for Shenzhen indicate a highest temperature near 31–32°C on August 14, driven by moderate monsoon moisture and increased afternoon cloud cover that limits peak solar heating in the subtropical climate. Model consensus points to scattered showers or thunderstorms reducing maximums compared to clearer days earlier in the week, while typical August humidity around 75–80% supports values close to the 32°C seasonal average. Minor differences in rain timing or steering winds could shift the daily peak by 1°C either way, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 30–33°C and the inherent uncertainty in short-range high-resolution guidance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 14?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 14?
31°C 32%
32°C 20%
30°C 18%
33°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Aug 14, 2026
26°C or below
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
8%
30°C
18%
31°C
32%
32°C
20%
33°C
14%
34°C
5%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
1%
31°C 32%
32°C 20%
30°C 18%
33°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Aug 14, 2026
26°C or below
$729 Vol.
1%
27°C
$14 Vol.
1%
28°C
$58 Vol.
3%
29°C
$22 Vol.
8%
30°C
$39 Vol.
18%
31°C
$2,119 Vol.
32%
32°C
$39 Vol.
20%
33°C
$109 Vol.
14%
34°C
$34 Vol.
5%
35°C
$134 Vol.
2%
36°C or higher
$75 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts for Shenzhen indicate a highest temperature near 31–32°C on August 14, driven by moderate monsoon moisture and increased afternoon cloud cover that limits peak solar heating in the subtropical climate. Model consensus points to scattered showers or thunderstorms reducing maximums compared to clearer days earlier in the week, while typical August humidity around 75–80% supports values close to the 32°C seasonal average. Minor differences in rain timing or steering winds could shift the daily peak by 1°C either way, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 30–33°C and the inherent uncertainty in short-range high-resolution guidance.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$3,373End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts for Shenzhen indicate a highest temperature near 31–32°C on August 14, driven by moderate monsoon moisture and increased afternoon cloud cover that limits peak solar heating in the subtropical climate. Model consensus points to scattered showers or thunderstorms reducing maximums compared to clearer days earlier in the week, while typical August humidity around 75–80% supports values close to the 32°C seasonal average. Minor differences in rain timing or steering winds could shift the daily peak by 1°C either way, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 30–33°C and the inherent uncertainty in short-range high-resolution guidance.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,373End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts for Shenzhen indicate a highest temperature near 31–32°C on August 14, driven by moderate monsoon moisture and increased afternoon cloud cover that limits peak solar heating in the subtropical climate. Model consensus points to scattered showers or thunderstorms reducing maximums compared to clearer days earlier in the week, while typical August humidity around 75–80% supports values close to the 32°C seasonal average. Minor differences in rain timing or steering winds could shift the daily peak by 1°C either way, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 30–33°C and the inherent uncertainty in short-range high-resolution guidance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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