Traders favor the 94-95°F range for Houston’s highest temperature on August 11, aligning with National Weather Service model consensus that places the peak near seasonal mid-August norms for the subtropical Gulf Coast region. Persistent high pressure, elevated dew points from Gulf moisture, and typical afternoon heating under partly cloudy skies support this outcome over cooler or hotter extremes. Recent forecast updates show minimal day-to-day shifts in steering patterns or frontal boundaries, keeping probabilities clustered in the mid-90s while acknowledging standard model spread and urban heat-island amplification. Local NWS briefings expected in the next 24 hours will provide the final observational calibration before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Houston on August 11?
Highest temperature in Houston on August 11?
94-95°F 49%
92-93°F 24%
96-97°F 18%
90-91°F 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 11, 2026
83°F or below
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
5%
92-93°F
24%
94-95°F
49%
96-97°F
18%
98-99°F
3%
100-101°F
3%
102°F or higher
1%
94-95°F 49%
92-93°F 24%
96-97°F 18%
90-91°F 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 11, 2026
83°F or below
$142 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$12 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$23 Vol.
3%
88-89°F
$45 Vol.
2%
90-91°F
$117 Vol.
5%
92-93°F
$51 Vol.
24%
94-95°F
$1,806 Vol.
49%
96-97°F
$23 Vol.
18%
98-99°F
$0 Vol.
3%
100-101°F
$5 Vol.
3%
102°F or higher
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders favor the 94-95°F range for Houston’s highest temperature on August 11, aligning with National Weather Service model consensus that places the peak near seasonal mid-August norms for the subtropical Gulf Coast region. Persistent high pressure, elevated dew points from Gulf moisture, and typical afternoon heating under partly cloudy skies support this outcome over cooler or hotter extremes. Recent forecast updates show minimal day-to-day shifts in steering patterns or frontal boundaries, keeping probabilities clustered in the mid-90s while acknowledging standard model spread and urban heat-island amplification. Local NWS briefings expected in the next 24 hours will provide the final observational calibration before market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 9, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Volume
$2,228End Date
Aug 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 9, 2026, 9:05 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders favor the 94-95°F range for Houston’s highest temperature on August 11, aligning with National Weather Service model consensus that places the peak near seasonal mid-August norms for the subtropical Gulf Coast region. Persistent high pressure, elevated dew points from Gulf moisture, and typical afternoon heating under partly cloudy skies support this outcome over cooler or hotter extremes. Recent forecast updates show minimal day-to-day shifts in steering patterns or frontal boundaries, keeping probabilities clustered in the mid-90s while acknowledging standard model spread and urban heat-island amplification. Local NWS briefings expected in the next 24 hours will provide the final observational calibration before market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,228End Date
Aug 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 9, 2026, 9:05 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders favor the 94-95°F range for Houston’s highest temperature on August 11, aligning with National Weather Service model consensus that places the peak near seasonal mid-August norms for the subtropical Gulf Coast region. Persistent high pressure, elevated dew points from Gulf moisture, and typical afternoon heating under partly cloudy skies support this outcome over cooler or hotter extremes. Recent forecast updates show minimal day-to-day shifts in steering patterns or frontal boundaries, keeping probabilities clustered in the mid-90s while acknowledging standard model spread and urban heat-island amplification. Local NWS briefings expected in the next 24 hours will provide the final observational calibration before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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