Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate a cool air mass over Buenos Aires on August 11, driven by southerly flow and limited daytime heating during Southern Hemisphere winter, positioning 12°C as the market leader at 41.5% implied probability, followed closely by 13°C and 11°C. Recent observations show daily highs near 11–13°C amid variable cloud cover and light winds, below the long-term August average of around 17°C. Ensemble guidance reveals modest spread due to evolving pressure patterns, with lower probabilities assigned to warmer or colder extremes reflecting forecast uncertainty typical this far ahead. Official updates from agencies like Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional will likely refine the outlook ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 11?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 11?
12°C 42%
13°C 32%
11°C 19%
14°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 11, 2026
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
3%
11°C
19%
12°C
42%
13°C
32%
14°C
5%
15°C
1%
16°C or higher
1%
12°C 42%
13°C 32%
11°C 19%
14°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 11, 2026
6°C or below
$46 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$46 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$77 Vol.
1%
9°C
$46 Vol.
1%
10°C
$47 Vol.
3%
11°C
$217 Vol.
19%
12°C
$179 Vol.
42%
13°C
$97 Vol.
32%
14°C
$70 Vol.
5%
15°C
$69 Vol.
1%
16°C or higher
$61 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate a cool air mass over Buenos Aires on August 11, driven by southerly flow and limited daytime heating during Southern Hemisphere winter, positioning 12°C as the market leader at 41.5% implied probability, followed closely by 13°C and 11°C. Recent observations show daily highs near 11–13°C amid variable cloud cover and light winds, below the long-term August average of around 17°C. Ensemble guidance reveals modest spread due to evolving pressure patterns, with lower probabilities assigned to warmer or colder extremes reflecting forecast uncertainty typical this far ahead. Official updates from agencies like Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional will likely refine the outlook ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 9, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$957End Date
Aug 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 9, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate a cool air mass over Buenos Aires on August 11, driven by southerly flow and limited daytime heating during Southern Hemisphere winter, positioning 12°C as the market leader at 41.5% implied probability, followed closely by 13°C and 11°C. Recent observations show daily highs near 11–13°C amid variable cloud cover and light winds, below the long-term August average of around 17°C. Ensemble guidance reveals modest spread due to evolving pressure patterns, with lower probabilities assigned to warmer or colder extremes reflecting forecast uncertainty typical this far ahead. Official updates from agencies like Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional will likely refine the outlook ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$957End Date
Aug 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 9, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate a cool air mass over Buenos Aires on August 11, driven by southerly flow and limited daytime heating during Southern Hemisphere winter, positioning 12°C as the market leader at 41.5% implied probability, followed closely by 13°C and 11°C. Recent observations show daily highs near 11–13°C amid variable cloud cover and light winds, below the long-term August average of around 17°C. Ensemble guidance reveals modest spread due to evolving pressure patterns, with lower probabilities assigned to warmer or colder extremes reflecting forecast uncertainty typical this far ahead. Official updates from agencies like Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional will likely refine the outlook ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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