Trader consensus centers on 32–34°C as the likely peak in Karachi on August 13 because late-monsoon climatology and ensemble forecasts place typical maxima in this narrow band amid above-normal seasonal temperatures and suppressed rainfall. Current conditions feature weak monsoon currents that limit cloud cover and convective cooling while coastal humidity and sea-surface temperatures near 30°C support modest daytime warming without extreme heat. Historical August averages hover near 31–32°C, with recent early-month observations showing 31–35°C highs consistent with model guidance projecting stable steering patterns and limited intensification. Updated numerical weather predictions and Pakistan Meteorological Department outlooks over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of the market resolution window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on August 13?
Highest temperature in Karachi on August 13?
33°C 44%
32°C 27%
34°C 25%
31°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 13, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
8%
32°C
27%
33°C
44%
34°C
25%
35°C
7%
36°C
6%
37°C
6%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 44%
32°C 27%
34°C 25%
31°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 13, 2026
28°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$12 Vol.
2%
30°C
$274 Vol.
4%
31°C
$82 Vol.
8%
32°C
$70 Vol.
27%
33°C
$141 Vol.
44%
34°C
$177 Vol.
25%
35°C
$12 Vol.
7%
36°C
$12 Vol.
6%
37°C
$12 Vol.
6%
38°C or higher
$10 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on 32–34°C as the likely peak in Karachi on August 13 because late-monsoon climatology and ensemble forecasts place typical maxima in this narrow band amid above-normal seasonal temperatures and suppressed rainfall. Current conditions feature weak monsoon currents that limit cloud cover and convective cooling while coastal humidity and sea-surface temperatures near 30°C support modest daytime warming without extreme heat. Historical August averages hover near 31–32°C, with recent early-month observations showing 31–35°C highs consistent with model guidance projecting stable steering patterns and limited intensification. Updated numerical weather predictions and Pakistan Meteorological Department outlooks over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of the market resolution window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 11, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Volume
$802End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 1:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on 32–34°C as the likely peak in Karachi on August 13 because late-monsoon climatology and ensemble forecasts place typical maxima in this narrow band amid above-normal seasonal temperatures and suppressed rainfall. Current conditions feature weak monsoon currents that limit cloud cover and convective cooling while coastal humidity and sea-surface temperatures near 30°C support modest daytime warming without extreme heat. Historical August averages hover near 31–32°C, with recent early-month observations showing 31–35°C highs consistent with model guidance projecting stable steering patterns and limited intensification. Updated numerical weather predictions and Pakistan Meteorological Department outlooks over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of the market resolution window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$802End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 1:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus centers on 32–34°C as the likely peak in Karachi on August 13 because late-monsoon climatology and ensemble forecasts place typical maxima in this narrow band amid above-normal seasonal temperatures and suppressed rainfall. Current conditions feature weak monsoon currents that limit cloud cover and convective cooling while coastal humidity and sea-surface temperatures near 30°C support modest daytime warming without extreme heat. Historical August averages hover near 31–32°C, with recent early-month observations showing 31–35°C highs consistent with model guidance projecting stable steering patterns and limited intensification. Updated numerical weather predictions and Pakistan Meteorological Department outlooks over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of the market resolution window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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