Recent forecasts from sources like the Met Office and BBC Weather indicate peak daytime highs of 34–35°C in Milan on August 13 under sunny skies and light easterly winds, driving the tight market split between those two outcomes. High-pressure dominance promotes clear conditions and efficient solar heating, while minimal cloud cover and low wind speeds limit vertical mixing and allow maximum surface warming. Urban heat island effects in the city further amplify readings by 1–2°C compared to rural surroundings. Minor model differences in exact timing of any residual moisture or slight wind shifts explain the balanced probabilities for 34°C versus 35°C, with 36°C remaining possible if insolation peaks higher than expected. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these distinctions before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Milan on August 13?
Highest temperature in Milan on August 13?
34°C 38%
35°C 37%
36°C 11%
33°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 13, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
5%
33°C
7%
34°C
38%
35°C
37%
36°C
11%
37°C
2%
38°C
2%
39°C or higher
<1%
34°C 38%
35°C 37%
36°C 11%
33°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 13, 2026
29°C or below
$42 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$42 Vol.
1%
31°C
$42 Vol.
1%
32°C
$64 Vol.
5%
33°C
$324 Vol.
7%
34°C
$121 Vol.
38%
35°C
$249 Vol.
37%
36°C
$174 Vol.
11%
37°C
$64 Vol.
2%
38°C
$228 Vol.
2%
39°C or higher
$59 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like the Met Office and BBC Weather indicate peak daytime highs of 34–35°C in Milan on August 13 under sunny skies and light easterly winds, driving the tight market split between those two outcomes. High-pressure dominance promotes clear conditions and efficient solar heating, while minimal cloud cover and low wind speeds limit vertical mixing and allow maximum surface warming. Urban heat island effects in the city further amplify readings by 1–2°C compared to rural surroundings. Minor model differences in exact timing of any residual moisture or slight wind shifts explain the balanced probabilities for 34°C versus 35°C, with 36°C remaining possible if insolation peaks higher than expected. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these distinctions before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$1,411End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like the Met Office and BBC Weather indicate peak daytime highs of 34–35°C in Milan on August 13 under sunny skies and light easterly winds, driving the tight market split between those two outcomes. High-pressure dominance promotes clear conditions and efficient solar heating, while minimal cloud cover and low wind speeds limit vertical mixing and allow maximum surface warming. Urban heat island effects in the city further amplify readings by 1–2°C compared to rural surroundings. Minor model differences in exact timing of any residual moisture or slight wind shifts explain the balanced probabilities for 34°C versus 35°C, with 36°C remaining possible if insolation peaks higher than expected. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these distinctions before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,411End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources like the Met Office and BBC Weather indicate peak daytime highs of 34–35°C in Milan on August 13 under sunny skies and light easterly winds, driving the tight market split between those two outcomes. High-pressure dominance promotes clear conditions and efficient solar heating, while minimal cloud cover and low wind speeds limit vertical mixing and allow maximum surface warming. Urban heat island effects in the city further amplify readings by 1–2°C compared to rural surroundings. Minor model differences in exact timing of any residual moisture or slight wind shifts explain the balanced probabilities for 34°C versus 35°C, with 36°C remaining possible if insolation peaks higher than expected. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these distinctions before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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