The market-implied odds favor a Singapore daily maximum of 32–33°C on August 14, reflecting National Environment Agency guidance issued in late July projecting maxima of 33–34°C during the first fortnight amid prevailing southwest monsoon conditions and El Niño-driven warmer, drier patterns across the region. These factors, reinforced by subseasonal outlooks showing above-normal temperatures for much of ASEAN, position 32–33°C as the most probable range given Singapore’s typical equatorial variability and potential for occasional windy or localized shower effects that could moderate peaks. Traders are pricing in the official forecast consensus while accounting for inherent short-term model uncertainty near the event.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Singapore on August 14?
Highest temperature in Singapore on August 14?
32°C 54%
33°C 36%
31°C 8%
34°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 14, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
8%
32°C
54%
33°C
36%
34°C
5%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 54%
33°C 36%
31°C 8%
34°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 14, 2026
28°C or below
$29 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$30 Vol.
1%
30°C
$24 Vol.
2%
31°C
$43 Vol.
8%
32°C
$505 Vol.
54%
33°C
$166 Vol.
36%
34°C
$74 Vol.
5%
35°C
$71 Vol.
2%
36°C
$7 Vol.
1%
37°C
$26 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$190 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market-implied odds favor a Singapore daily maximum of 32–33°C on August 14, reflecting National Environment Agency guidance issued in late July projecting maxima of 33–34°C during the first fortnight amid prevailing southwest monsoon conditions and El Niño-driven warmer, drier patterns across the region. These factors, reinforced by subseasonal outlooks showing above-normal temperatures for much of ASEAN, position 32–33°C as the most probable range given Singapore’s typical equatorial variability and potential for occasional windy or localized shower effects that could moderate peaks. Traders are pricing in the official forecast consensus while accounting for inherent short-term model uncertainty near the event.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$1,164End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market-implied odds favor a Singapore daily maximum of 32–33°C on August 14, reflecting National Environment Agency guidance issued in late July projecting maxima of 33–34°C during the first fortnight amid prevailing southwest monsoon conditions and El Niño-driven warmer, drier patterns across the region. These factors, reinforced by subseasonal outlooks showing above-normal temperatures for much of ASEAN, position 32–33°C as the most probable range given Singapore’s typical equatorial variability and potential for occasional windy or localized shower effects that could moderate peaks. Traders are pricing in the official forecast consensus while accounting for inherent short-term model uncertainty near the event.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,164End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The market-implied odds favor a Singapore daily maximum of 32–33°C on August 14, reflecting National Environment Agency guidance issued in late July projecting maxima of 33–34°C during the first fortnight amid prevailing southwest monsoon conditions and El Niño-driven warmer, drier patterns across the region. These factors, reinforced by subseasonal outlooks showing above-normal temperatures for much of ASEAN, position 32–33°C as the most probable range given Singapore’s typical equatorial variability and potential for occasional windy or localized shower effects that could moderate peaks. Traders are pricing in the official forecast consensus while accounting for inherent short-term model uncertainty near the event.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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