Skip to main content
icon for Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 14?

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 14?

icon for Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 14?

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 14?

Aug 12

Aug 13

Aug 14

Aug 12

Aug 13

Aug 14

31°C 38%

32°C 28%

30°C 16%

33°C 8%

Polymarket
NEW

31°C 38%

32°C 28%

30°C 16%

33°C 8%

Polymarket
NEW

26°C or below

$300 Vol.

<1%

27°C

$254 Vol.

<1%

28°C

$367 Vol.

1%

29°C

$695 Vol.

7%

30°C

$733 Vol.

16%

31°C

$838 Vol.

38%

32°C

$1,491 Vol.

28%

33°C

$195 Vol.

8%

34°C

$245 Vol.

4%

35°C

$202 Vol.

1%

36°C or higher

$261 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Short-term forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models point to a daytime maximum near 31–32°C on August 14 amid showers and high humidity, driving the close market split between those two outcomes. Persistent low-pressure troughs over the South China Sea favor scattered convection that limits peak heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling, while typical August climatology shows an average high of 31–32°C with occasional spikes above 34°C under clearer skies. Trader positioning around these values reflects uncertainty in exact steering patterns and rainfall timing, with official guidance expected to refine intensity and coverage in the next model runs.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$5,582
End Date
Aug 14, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Short-term forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models point to a daytime maximum near 31–32°C on August 14 amid showers and high humidity, driving the close market split between those two outcomes. Persistent low-pressure troughs over the South China Sea favor scattered convection that limits peak heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling, while typical August climatology shows an average high of 31–32°C with occasional spikes above 34°C under clearer skies. Trader positioning around these values reflects uncertainty in exact steering patterns and rainfall timing, with official guidance expected to refine intensity and coverage in the next model runs.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$5,582
End Date
Aug 14, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Related

icon for Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 13?

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 13?

43%
icon for Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 12?

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 12?

100%
icon for Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 14?

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 14?

41%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 14?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "31°C" at 38%, followed by "32°C" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 38¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 38% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 14?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 12, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 14?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 14?" is "31°C" at 38%, meaning the market assigns a 38% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "32°C" at 28%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 14?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.