**Current forecasts from sources including timeanddate.com and BBC Weather indicate a likely peak of 38–39°C on August 16 in Chongqing, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, basin topography that traps heat, and limited cloud cover or precipitation in model runs.** This aligns with typical August climatology of 35–40°C daytime highs, occasionally reaching 42°C during heat episodes, though the prior August 2 event cooled sharply to 33°C or below amid heavy rain. Trader consensus on 37–38°C as top outcomes reflects model agreement around these values alongside uncertainty from potential afternoon convection or slight forecast revisions. Official Chinese meteorological guidance and ensemble outputs will be key updates before resolution, as small shifts in steering patterns or humidity could tip the maximum across the 37–39°C thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on August 16?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on August 16?
38°C 36%
37°C 29%
39°C 14%
36°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 16, 2026
33°C or below
2%
34°C
2%
35°C
4%
36°C
13%
37°C
29%
38°C
36%
39°C
14%
40°C
5%
41°C
3%
42°C
4%
43°C or higher
<1%
38°C 36%
37°C 29%
39°C 14%
36°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 16, 2026
33°C or below
$2,639 Vol.
2%
34°C
$41 Vol.
2%
35°C
$50 Vol.
4%
36°C
$63 Vol.
13%
37°C
$37 Vol.
29%
38°C
$1,065 Vol.
36%
39°C
$37 Vol.
14%
40°C
$30 Vol.
5%
41°C
$32 Vol.
3%
42°C
$10 Vol.
4%
43°C or higher
$46 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from sources including timeanddate.com and BBC Weather indicate a likely peak of 38–39°C on August 16 in Chongqing, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, basin topography that traps heat, and limited cloud cover or precipitation in model runs.** This aligns with typical August climatology of 35–40°C daytime highs, occasionally reaching 42°C during heat episodes, though the prior August 2 event cooled sharply to 33°C or below amid heavy rain. Trader consensus on 37–38°C as top outcomes reflects model agreement around these values alongside uncertainty from potential afternoon convection or slight forecast revisions. Official Chinese meteorological guidance and ensemble outputs will be key updates before resolution, as small shifts in steering patterns or humidity could tip the maximum across the 37–39°C thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$4,051End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from sources including timeanddate.com and BBC Weather indicate a likely peak of 38–39°C on August 16 in Chongqing, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, basin topography that traps heat, and limited cloud cover or precipitation in model runs.** This aligns with typical August climatology of 35–40°C daytime highs, occasionally reaching 42°C during heat episodes, though the prior August 2 event cooled sharply to 33°C or below amid heavy rain. Trader consensus on 37–38°C as top outcomes reflects model agreement around these values alongside uncertainty from potential afternoon convection or slight forecast revisions. Official Chinese meteorological guidance and ensemble outputs will be key updates before resolution, as small shifts in steering patterns or humidity could tip the maximum across the 37–39°C thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,051End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from sources including timeanddate.com and BBC Weather indicate a likely peak of 38–39°C on August 16 in Chongqing, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, basin topography that traps heat, and limited cloud cover or precipitation in model runs.** This aligns with typical August climatology of 35–40°C daytime highs, occasionally reaching 42°C during heat episodes, though the prior August 2 event cooled sharply to 33°C or below amid heavy rain. Trader consensus on 37–38°C as top outcomes reflects model agreement around these values alongside uncertainty from potential afternoon convection or slight forecast revisions. Official Chinese meteorological guidance and ensemble outputs will be key updates before resolution, as small shifts in steering patterns or humidity could tip the maximum across the 37–39°C thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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