**Recent forecast updates point to a moderating influence from increased cloud cover and heavy precipitation expected on August 16, keeping the daily maximum temperature in Busan clustered around 26–28 °C and producing the observed market spread.** Official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration currently indicates a maximum near 33 °C under partly cloudy conditions earlier in the period, yet ensemble and high-resolution models have trended cooler as a frontal system or tropical moisture surge approaches, with timeanddate.com and other extended outlooks showing 24–26 °C highs amid flash-flood risk and overcast skies. Coastal sea breezes typical of Busan further temper peak readings relative to inland areas, while high humidity sustains the potential for tropical-night conditions even if daytime maxima fall. The 34 % probability on 27 °C and near-equal shares on 26 °C and 28 °C reflect genuine model divergence on rainfall timing and intensity: heavier or earlier rain would favor the lower end of the range by limiting insolation, whereas delayed or lighter precipitation would allow temperatures to reach or exceed 28 °C. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24–48 hours will be the decisive inputs for traders, given the short time horizon and the inherent uncertainty in quantitative precipitation forecasts for coastal South Korea in mid-August.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Busan on August 16?
Highest temperature in Busan on August 16?
27°C 34%
26°C 22%
28°C 21%
25°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 16, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
3%
25°C
12%
26°C
22%
27°C
34%
28°C
21%
29°C
10%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
1%
27°C 34%
26°C 22%
28°C 21%
25°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 16, 2026
21°C or below
$121 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$105 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$96 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$92 Vol.
3%
25°C
$268 Vol.
12%
26°C
$130 Vol.
22%
27°C
$531 Vol.
34%
28°C
$115 Vol.
21%
29°C
$135 Vol.
10%
30°C
$161 Vol.
2%
31°C or higher
$60 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecast updates point to a moderating influence from increased cloud cover and heavy precipitation expected on August 16, keeping the daily maximum temperature in Busan clustered around 26–28 °C and producing the observed market spread.** Official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration currently indicates a maximum near 33 °C under partly cloudy conditions earlier in the period, yet ensemble and high-resolution models have trended cooler as a frontal system or tropical moisture surge approaches, with timeanddate.com and other extended outlooks showing 24–26 °C highs amid flash-flood risk and overcast skies.
Coastal sea breezes typical of Busan further temper peak readings relative to inland areas, while high humidity sustains the potential for tropical-night conditions even if daytime maxima fall. The 34 % probability on 27 °C and near-equal shares on 26 °C and 28 °C reflect genuine model divergence on rainfall timing and intensity: heavier or earlier rain would favor the lower end of the range by limiting insolation, whereas delayed or lighter precipitation would allow temperatures to reach or exceed 28 °C. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24–48 hours will be the decisive inputs for traders, given the short time horizon and the inherent uncertainty in quantitative precipitation forecasts for coastal South Korea in mid-August.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$1,813End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecast updates point to a moderating influence from increased cloud cover and heavy precipitation expected on August 16, keeping the daily maximum temperature in Busan clustered around 26–28 °C and producing the observed market spread.** Official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration currently indicates a maximum near 33 °C under partly cloudy conditions earlier in the period, yet ensemble and high-resolution models have trended cooler as a frontal system or tropical moisture surge approaches, with timeanddate.com and other extended outlooks showing 24–26 °C highs amid flash-flood risk and overcast skies.
Coastal sea breezes typical of Busan further temper peak readings relative to inland areas, while high humidity sustains the potential for tropical-night conditions even if daytime maxima fall. The 34 % probability on 27 °C and near-equal shares on 26 °C and 28 °C reflect genuine model divergence on rainfall timing and intensity: heavier or earlier rain would favor the lower end of the range by limiting insolation, whereas delayed or lighter precipitation would allow temperatures to reach or exceed 28 °C. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24–48 hours will be the decisive inputs for traders, given the short time horizon and the inherent uncertainty in quantitative precipitation forecasts for coastal South Korea in mid-August.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,813End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecast updates point to a moderating influence from increased cloud cover and heavy precipitation expected on August 16, keeping the daily maximum temperature in Busan clustered around 26–28 °C and producing the observed market spread.** Official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration currently indicates a maximum near 33 °C under partly cloudy conditions earlier in the period, yet ensemble and high-resolution models have trended cooler as a frontal system or tropical moisture surge approaches, with timeanddate.com and other extended outlooks showing 24–26 °C highs amid flash-flood risk and overcast skies. Coastal sea breezes typical of Busan further temper peak readings relative to inland areas, while high humidity sustains the potential for tropical-night conditions even if daytime maxima fall. The 34 % probability on 27 °C and near-equal shares on 26 °C and 28 °C reflect genuine model divergence on rainfall timing and intensity: heavier or earlier rain would favor the lower end of the range by limiting insolation, whereas delayed or lighter precipitation would allow temperatures to reach or exceed 28 °C. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24–48 hours will be the decisive inputs for traders, given the short time horizon and the inherent uncertainty in quantitative precipitation forecasts for coastal South Korea in mid-August.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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