Forecast models for Jeddah on August 16, 2026, show daily maximums near or above 40°C under sunny conditions with light northerly winds and low precipitation chances, consistent with peak summer patterns in this hot-arid Red Sea coastal zone. High solar insolation, minimal cloud cover, and regional subsidence contribute to surface heating, while typical August climatology supports daytime peaks of 37–43°C. Recent ensemble guidance from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather clusters around 39–40°C (104°F), with some runs reaching 41–42°C, driving the market's 55.5% implied probability on 41°C or higher. Coastal humidity may moderate perceived heat but does not alter dry-bulb readings used for resolution. Updated short-range model runs and National Center for Meteorology briefings over the next 48 hours represent the key upcoming data points that could shift these probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jeddah on August 16?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on August 16?
41°C or higher 56%
40°C 22%
39°C 12%
38°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 16, 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
3%
38°C
6%
39°C
12%
40°C
22%
41°C or higher
56%
41°C or higher 56%
40°C 22%
39°C 12%
38°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 16, 2026
31°C or below
$372 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$372 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$372 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$96 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$32 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$18 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$10 Vol.
3%
38°C
$40 Vol.
6%
39°C
$0 Vol.
12%
40°C
$57 Vol.
22%
41°C or higher
$88 Vol.
56%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Jeddah on August 16, 2026, show daily maximums near or above 40°C under sunny conditions with light northerly winds and low precipitation chances, consistent with peak summer patterns in this hot-arid Red Sea coastal zone. High solar insolation, minimal cloud cover, and regional subsidence contribute to surface heating, while typical August climatology supports daytime peaks of 37–43°C. Recent ensemble guidance from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather clusters around 39–40°C (104°F), with some runs reaching 41–42°C, driving the market's 55.5% implied probability on 41°C or higher. Coastal humidity may moderate perceived heat but does not alter dry-bulb readings used for resolution. Updated short-range model runs and National Center for Meteorology briefings over the next 48 hours represent the key upcoming data points that could shift these probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$1,457End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Jeddah on August 16, 2026, show daily maximums near or above 40°C under sunny conditions with light northerly winds and low precipitation chances, consistent with peak summer patterns in this hot-arid Red Sea coastal zone. High solar insolation, minimal cloud cover, and regional subsidence contribute to surface heating, while typical August climatology supports daytime peaks of 37–43°C. Recent ensemble guidance from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather clusters around 39–40°C (104°F), with some runs reaching 41–42°C, driving the market's 55.5% implied probability on 41°C or higher. Coastal humidity may moderate perceived heat but does not alter dry-bulb readings used for resolution. Updated short-range model runs and National Center for Meteorology briefings over the next 48 hours represent the key upcoming data points that could shift these probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,457End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for Jeddah on August 16, 2026, show daily maximums near or above 40°C under sunny conditions with light northerly winds and low precipitation chances, consistent with peak summer patterns in this hot-arid Red Sea coastal zone. High solar insolation, minimal cloud cover, and regional subsidence contribute to surface heating, while typical August climatology supports daytime peaks of 37–43°C. Recent ensemble guidance from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather clusters around 39–40°C (104°F), with some runs reaching 41–42°C, driving the market's 55.5% implied probability on 41°C or higher. Coastal humidity may moderate perceived heat but does not alter dry-bulb readings used for resolution. Updated short-range model runs and National Center for Meteorology briefings over the next 48 hours represent the key upcoming data points that could shift these probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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