Recent forecast guidance from models and agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to persistent cloud cover and scattered showers moderating peak heating in Qingdao on August 16, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 31–33 °C. Coastal sea breezes and high humidity further limit surface warming by enhancing mixing and reducing insolation, while any afternoon clearing could allow brief spikes toward 33 °C. Historical August maxima average near 29–30 °C, but inter-model spread in timing of precipitation and subtropical ridge position creates the observed uncertainty, with new short-range runs and local observations likely to refine outcomes before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Qingdao on August 16?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on August 16?
33°C 43%
32°C 29%
31°C 13%
34°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 16, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
7%
31°C
13%
32°C
29%
33°C
43%
34°C
12%
35°C
8%
36°C or higher
3%
33°C 43%
32°C 29%
31°C 13%
34°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 16, 2026
26°C or below
$100 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$25 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$10 Vol.
2%
29°C
$37 Vol.
1%
30°C
$71 Vol.
7%
31°C
$20 Vol.
13%
32°C
$79 Vol.
29%
33°C
$355 Vol.
43%
34°C
$75 Vol.
12%
35°C
$37 Vol.
8%
36°C or higher
$64 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from models and agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to persistent cloud cover and scattered showers moderating peak heating in Qingdao on August 16, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 31–33 °C. Coastal sea breezes and high humidity further limit surface warming by enhancing mixing and reducing insolation, while any afternoon clearing could allow brief spikes toward 33 °C. Historical August maxima average near 29–30 °C, but inter-model spread in timing of precipitation and subtropical ridge position creates the observed uncertainty, with new short-range runs and local observations likely to refine outcomes before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$872End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from models and agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to persistent cloud cover and scattered showers moderating peak heating in Qingdao on August 16, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 31–33 °C. Coastal sea breezes and high humidity further limit surface warming by enhancing mixing and reducing insolation, while any afternoon clearing could allow brief spikes toward 33 °C. Historical August maxima average near 29–30 °C, but inter-model spread in timing of precipitation and subtropical ridge position creates the observed uncertainty, with new short-range runs and local observations likely to refine outcomes before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$872End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from models and agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to persistent cloud cover and scattered showers moderating peak heating in Qingdao on August 16, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 31–33 °C. Coastal sea breezes and high humidity further limit surface warming by enhancing mixing and reducing insolation, while any afternoon clearing could allow brief spikes toward 33 °C. Historical August maxima average near 29–30 °C, but inter-model spread in timing of precipitation and subtropical ridge position creates the observed uncertainty, with new short-range runs and local observations likely to refine outcomes before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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