Recent forecasts from AccuWeather and the Pakistan Meteorological Department point to monsoon-driven moisture and cloud cover keeping Karachi's August 18 maximum near 32°C, aligning with the market's leading 52.5% implied probability for that outcome and 27.5% for 33°C. Coastal humidity, sea breezes, and typical late-monsoon conditions suppress daytime heating relative to drier inland areas, producing a narrow historical range of 31–34°C. Weakening monsoon activity later in the month may allow modest warming, yet current model consensus favors values clustered around the long-term August average high of 32°C. Updated short-range guidance ahead of the date will refine these trader-assessed odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on August 18?
Highest temperature in Karachi on August 18?
32°C 54%
33°C 26%
31°C 16%
34°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 18, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
4%
31°C
16%
32°C
54%
33°C
26%
34°C
5%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 54%
33°C 26%
31°C 16%
34°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 18, 2026
27°C or below
$161 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$47 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$383 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$67 Vol.
4%
31°C
$194 Vol.
16%
32°C
$403 Vol.
54%
33°C
$71 Vol.
26%
34°C
$122 Vol.
5%
35°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$33 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$145 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from AccuWeather and the Pakistan Meteorological Department point to monsoon-driven moisture and cloud cover keeping Karachi's August 18 maximum near 32°C, aligning with the market's leading 52.5% implied probability for that outcome and 27.5% for 33°C. Coastal humidity, sea breezes, and typical late-monsoon conditions suppress daytime heating relative to drier inland areas, producing a narrow historical range of 31–34°C. Weakening monsoon activity later in the month may allow modest warming, yet current model consensus favors values clustered around the long-term August average high of 32°C. Updated short-range guidance ahead of the date will refine these trader-assessed odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$1,641End Date
Aug 18, 2026Market Opened
Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from AccuWeather and the Pakistan Meteorological Department point to monsoon-driven moisture and cloud cover keeping Karachi's August 18 maximum near 32°C, aligning with the market's leading 52.5% implied probability for that outcome and 27.5% for 33°C. Coastal humidity, sea breezes, and typical late-monsoon conditions suppress daytime heating relative to drier inland areas, producing a narrow historical range of 31–34°C. Weakening monsoon activity later in the month may allow modest warming, yet current model consensus favors values clustered around the long-term August average high of 32°C. Updated short-range guidance ahead of the date will refine these trader-assessed odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,641End Date
Aug 18, 2026Market Opened
Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from AccuWeather and the Pakistan Meteorological Department point to monsoon-driven moisture and cloud cover keeping Karachi's August 18 maximum near 32°C, aligning with the market's leading 52.5% implied probability for that outcome and 27.5% for 33°C. Coastal humidity, sea breezes, and typical late-monsoon conditions suppress daytime heating relative to drier inland areas, producing a narrow historical range of 31–34°C. Weakening monsoon activity later in the month may allow modest warming, yet current model consensus favors values clustered around the long-term August average high of 32°C. Updated short-range guidance ahead of the date will refine these trader-assessed odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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