Recent ensemble forecasts from European and global models indicate a high-pressure ridge over central Europe supporting daytime highs near 31–32°C in Munich on August 16, driving the market's tight clustering around those outcomes. Clear to partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow favor strong solar insolation, while increasing boundary-layer moisture and potential afternoon showers could cap peaks below 34°C. Historical August climatology for the region shows mean daily maxima of 23–25°C, underscoring the current anomalously warm setup. Model spread remains modest but sensitive to exact cloud timing and wind shifts, with updated runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts expected before resolution to refine the 30–33°C range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on August 16?
Highest temperature in Munich on August 16?
32°C 33%
31°C 29%
30°C 15%
33°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Aug 16, 2026
28°C or below
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
15%
31°C
29%
32°C
33%
33°C
14%
34°C
4%
35°C
4%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
1%
32°C 33%
31°C 29%
30°C 15%
33°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Aug 16, 2026
28°C or below
$58 Vol.
2%
29°C
$15 Vol.
3%
30°C
$89 Vol.
15%
31°C
$144 Vol.
29%
32°C
$140 Vol.
33%
33°C
$122 Vol.
14%
34°C
$71 Vol.
4%
35°C
$5 Vol.
4%
36°C
$5 Vol.
1%
37°C
$5 Vol.
1%
38°C or higher
$15 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from European and global models indicate a high-pressure ridge over central Europe supporting daytime highs near 31–32°C in Munich on August 16, driving the market's tight clustering around those outcomes. Clear to partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow favor strong solar insolation, while increasing boundary-layer moisture and potential afternoon showers could cap peaks below 34°C. Historical August climatology for the region shows mean daily maxima of 23–25°C, underscoring the current anomalously warm setup. Model spread remains modest but sensitive to exact cloud timing and wind shifts, with updated runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts expected before resolution to refine the 30–33°C range.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$669End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from European and global models indicate a high-pressure ridge over central Europe supporting daytime highs near 31–32°C in Munich on August 16, driving the market's tight clustering around those outcomes. Clear to partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow favor strong solar insolation, while increasing boundary-layer moisture and potential afternoon showers could cap peaks below 34°C. Historical August climatology for the region shows mean daily maxima of 23–25°C, underscoring the current anomalously warm setup. Model spread remains modest but sensitive to exact cloud timing and wind shifts, with updated runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts expected before resolution to refine the 30–33°C range.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$669End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from European and global models indicate a high-pressure ridge over central Europe supporting daytime highs near 31–32°C in Munich on August 16, driving the market's tight clustering around those outcomes. Clear to partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow favor strong solar insolation, while increasing boundary-layer moisture and potential afternoon showers could cap peaks below 34°C. Historical August climatology for the region shows mean daily maxima of 23–25°C, underscoring the current anomalously warm setup. Model spread remains modest but sensitive to exact cloud timing and wind shifts, with updated runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts expected before resolution to refine the 30–33°C range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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