Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration currently point to daytime highs of 32–34°C in Taipei on August 19 amid typical late-summer southwesterly flow and high humidity. Trader consensus clusters around 29–32°C because afternoon thunderstorms—driven by daytime heating and moisture—can limit peak temperatures through cloud cover and evaporative cooling, while clear intervals allow stronger insolation to push readings higher. Model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and timing of convection, creating genuine uncertainty near the 32°C threshold. Historical August averages near 32°C provide context, but short-term variability means the next CWA briefing and updated numerical guidance will likely refine these odds most directly.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on August 19?
Highest temperature in Taipei on August 19?
33°C 30%
32°C 27%
34°C 19%
36°C or higher 15.7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 19, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
13%
30°C
9%
31°C
13%
32°C
27%
33°C
30%
34°C
28%
35°C
14%
36°C or higher
16%
33°C 30%
32°C 27%
34°C 19%
36°C or higher 15.7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 19, 2026
26°C or below
$5 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$5 Vol.
13%
30°C
$0 Vol.
9%
31°C
$0 Vol.
13%
32°C
$11 Vol.
27%
33°C
$38 Vol.
30%
34°C
$41 Vol.
28%
35°C
$193 Vol.
14%
36°C or higher
$40 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration currently point to daytime highs of 32–34°C in Taipei on August 19 amid typical late-summer southwesterly flow and high humidity. Trader consensus clusters around 29–32°C because afternoon thunderstorms—driven by daytime heating and moisture—can limit peak temperatures through cloud cover and evaporative cooling, while clear intervals allow stronger insolation to push readings higher. Model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and timing of convection, creating genuine uncertainty near the 32°C threshold. Historical August averages near 32°C provide context, but short-term variability means the next CWA briefing and updated numerical guidance will likely refine these odds most directly.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$331End Date
Aug 19, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration currently point to daytime highs of 32–34°C in Taipei on August 19 amid typical late-summer southwesterly flow and high humidity. Trader consensus clusters around 29–32°C because afternoon thunderstorms—driven by daytime heating and moisture—can limit peak temperatures through cloud cover and evaporative cooling, while clear intervals allow stronger insolation to push readings higher. Model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and timing of convection, creating genuine uncertainty near the 32°C threshold. Historical August averages near 32°C provide context, but short-term variability means the next CWA briefing and updated numerical guidance will likely refine these odds most directly.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$331End Date
Aug 19, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration currently point to daytime highs of 32–34°C in Taipei on August 19 amid typical late-summer southwesterly flow and high humidity. Trader consensus clusters around 29–32°C because afternoon thunderstorms—driven by daytime heating and moisture—can limit peak temperatures through cloud cover and evaporative cooling, while clear intervals allow stronger insolation to push readings higher. Model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and timing of convection, creating genuine uncertainty near the 32°C threshold. Historical August averages near 32°C provide context, but short-term variability means the next CWA briefing and updated numerical guidance will likely refine these odds most directly.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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