Current Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble models indicate a daytime maximum near 30–32°C for the Seoul-Incheon region on August 17 under mostly cloudy skies and a 60% chance of afternoon showers, which should limit full insolation and suppress peaks relative to earlier heatwave conditions. Mid-August climatology typically centers on 29–31°C, and scattered convective activity aligns with the market-implied probabilities favoring 29°C (37%) and 30°C (27%) as the leading outcomes. Recent model consensus shows modest cooling from cloud cover and precipitation compared with clearer, hotter days earlier in the month, while official resolution will rely on the Incheon International Airport station's recorded high. Updated KMA briefings and any shifts in steering flow or moisture return remain the key near-term variables.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 17?
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 17?
29°C 38%
30°C 27%
28°C 21%
27°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 17, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
9%
28°C
21%
29°C
38%
30°C
27%
31°C
6%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
1%
29°C 38%
30°C 27%
28°C 21%
27°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 17, 2026
23°C or below
$937 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$636 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$414 Vol.
1%
26°C
$525 Vol.
4%
27°C
$1,104 Vol.
9%
28°C
$709 Vol.
21%
29°C
$559 Vol.
38%
30°C
$858 Vol.
27%
31°C
$960 Vol.
6%
32°C
$613 Vol.
2%
33°C or higher
$709 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble models indicate a daytime maximum near 30–32°C for the Seoul-Incheon region on August 17 under mostly cloudy skies and a 60% chance of afternoon showers, which should limit full insolation and suppress peaks relative to earlier heatwave conditions. Mid-August climatology typically centers on 29–31°C, and scattered convective activity aligns with the market-implied probabilities favoring 29°C (37%) and 30°C (27%) as the leading outcomes. Recent model consensus shows modest cooling from cloud cover and precipitation compared with clearer, hotter days earlier in the month, while official resolution will rely on the Incheon International Airport station's recorded high. Updated KMA briefings and any shifts in steering flow or moisture return remain the key near-term variables.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 15, 2026, 4:04 PM ET
Volume
$8,025End Date
Aug 17, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 4:04 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble models indicate a daytime maximum near 30–32°C for the Seoul-Incheon region on August 17 under mostly cloudy skies and a 60% chance of afternoon showers, which should limit full insolation and suppress peaks relative to earlier heatwave conditions. Mid-August climatology typically centers on 29–31°C, and scattered convective activity aligns with the market-implied probabilities favoring 29°C (37%) and 30°C (27%) as the leading outcomes. Recent model consensus shows modest cooling from cloud cover and precipitation compared with clearer, hotter days earlier in the month, while official resolution will rely on the Incheon International Airport station's recorded high. Updated KMA briefings and any shifts in steering flow or moisture return remain the key near-term variables.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,025End Date
Aug 17, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 4:04 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble models indicate a daytime maximum near 30–32°C for the Seoul-Incheon region on August 17 under mostly cloudy skies and a 60% chance of afternoon showers, which should limit full insolation and suppress peaks relative to earlier heatwave conditions. Mid-August climatology typically centers on 29–31°C, and scattered convective activity aligns with the market-implied probabilities favoring 29°C (37%) and 30°C (27%) as the leading outcomes. Recent model consensus shows modest cooling from cloud cover and precipitation compared with clearer, hotter days earlier in the month, while official resolution will rely on the Incheon International Airport station's recorded high. Updated KMA briefings and any shifts in steering flow or moisture return remain the key near-term variables.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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