Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts for Miami on August 15, 2026, project a daytime high near 91–92°F under partly cloudy skies with typical afternoon sea-breeze convergence and isolated thunderstorms. This aligns with mid-August climatology, where daily maxima average 89–91°F and rarely exceed 93°F absent strong high-pressure ridging or suppressed convection. Recent model consensus shows limited variability in steering patterns or moisture, keeping the distribution centered on the 92–93°F bin while assigning modest probability to a brief 94–95°F spike if cloud cover remains minimal. No tropical systems or anomalous heat advection are expected to alter these conditions before the observation window closes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Miami on August 15?
Highest temperature in Miami on August 15?
92-93°F 59%
90-91°F 25%
94-95°F 14%
88-89°F 4%
NEW
NEW
Aug 15, 2026
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
4%
90-91°F
25%
92-93°F
59%
94-95°F
14%
96-97°F
1%
98°F or higher
1%
92-93°F 59%
90-91°F 25%
94-95°F 14%
88-89°F 4%
NEW
NEW
Aug 15, 2026
79°F or below
$122 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$247 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$132 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$240 Vol.
1%
86-87°F
$103 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$434 Vol.
4%
90-91°F
$447 Vol.
25%
92-93°F
$2,119 Vol.
59%
94-95°F
$256 Vol.
14%
96-97°F
$91 Vol.
1%
98°F or higher
$34 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts for Miami on August 15, 2026, project a daytime high near 91–92°F under partly cloudy skies with typical afternoon sea-breeze convergence and isolated thunderstorms. This aligns with mid-August climatology, where daily maxima average 89–91°F and rarely exceed 93°F absent strong high-pressure ridging or suppressed convection. Recent model consensus shows limited variability in steering patterns or moisture, keeping the distribution centered on the 92–93°F bin while assigning modest probability to a brief 94–95°F spike if cloud cover remains minimal. No tropical systems or anomalous heat advection are expected to alter these conditions before the observation window closes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$4,226End Date
Aug 15, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts for Miami on August 15, 2026, project a daytime high near 91–92°F under partly cloudy skies with typical afternoon sea-breeze convergence and isolated thunderstorms. This aligns with mid-August climatology, where daily maxima average 89–91°F and rarely exceed 93°F absent strong high-pressure ridging or suppressed convection. Recent model consensus shows limited variability in steering patterns or moisture, keeping the distribution centered on the 92–93°F bin while assigning modest probability to a brief 94–95°F spike if cloud cover remains minimal. No tropical systems or anomalous heat advection are expected to alter these conditions before the observation window closes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,226End Date
Aug 15, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts for Miami on August 15, 2026, project a daytime high near 91–92°F under partly cloudy skies with typical afternoon sea-breeze convergence and isolated thunderstorms. This aligns with mid-August climatology, where daily maxima average 89–91°F and rarely exceed 93°F absent strong high-pressure ridging or suppressed convection. Recent model consensus shows limited variability in steering patterns or moisture, keeping the distribution centered on the 92–93°F bin while assigning modest probability to a brief 94–95°F spike if cloud cover remains minimal. No tropical systems or anomalous heat advection are expected to alter these conditions before the observation window closes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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