Recent National Weather Service observations and model guidance show a coastal trough and strengthening onshore flow suppressing temperatures across the Los Angeles basin, favoring a marine layer that limits daytime heating on August 15. This setup has produced highs mainly in the mid-70s°F in recent days, well below the seasonal average near 84°F, with forecasts converging on peaks of 74–77°F under persistent southwest winds and morning cloud cover. Trader consensus reflected in the 53.5% implied probability for 76–77°F and 37.5% for 74–75°F aligns with this synoptic pattern, while the low odds above 78°F indicate limited potential for rapid warming before the next forecast cycle.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 15?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 15?
76-77°F 55%
74-75°F 31%
78-79°F 7%
72-73°F 4%
NEW
NEW
Aug 15, 2026
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
31%
76-77°F
55%
78-79°F
7%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
1%
84°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 55%
74-75°F 31%
78-79°F 7%
72-73°F 4%
NEW
NEW
Aug 15, 2026
65°F or below
$314 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$127 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$196 Vol.
1%
70-71°F
$227 Vol.
2%
72-73°F
$792 Vol.
4%
74-75°F
$1,384 Vol.
31%
76-77°F
$1,421 Vol.
55%
78-79°F
$291 Vol.
7%
80-81°F
$172 Vol.
2%
82-83°F
$139 Vol.
1%
84°F or higher
$318 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service observations and model guidance show a coastal trough and strengthening onshore flow suppressing temperatures across the Los Angeles basin, favoring a marine layer that limits daytime heating on August 15. This setup has produced highs mainly in the mid-70s°F in recent days, well below the seasonal average near 84°F, with forecasts converging on peaks of 74–77°F under persistent southwest winds and morning cloud cover. Trader consensus reflected in the 53.5% implied probability for 76–77°F and 37.5% for 74–75°F aligns with this synoptic pattern, while the low odds above 78°F indicate limited potential for rapid warming before the next forecast cycle.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volume
$5,382End Date
Aug 15, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service observations and model guidance show a coastal trough and strengthening onshore flow suppressing temperatures across the Los Angeles basin, favoring a marine layer that limits daytime heating on August 15. This setup has produced highs mainly in the mid-70s°F in recent days, well below the seasonal average near 84°F, with forecasts converging on peaks of 74–77°F under persistent southwest winds and morning cloud cover. Trader consensus reflected in the 53.5% implied probability for 76–77°F and 37.5% for 74–75°F aligns with this synoptic pattern, while the low odds above 78°F indicate limited potential for rapid warming before the next forecast cycle.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,382End Date
Aug 15, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service observations and model guidance show a coastal trough and strengthening onshore flow suppressing temperatures across the Los Angeles basin, favoring a marine layer that limits daytime heating on August 15. This setup has produced highs mainly in the mid-70s°F in recent days, well below the seasonal average near 84°F, with forecasts converging on peaks of 74–77°F under persistent southwest winds and morning cloud cover. Trader consensus reflected in the 53.5% implied probability for 76–77°F and 37.5% for 74–75°F aligns with this synoptic pattern, while the low odds above 78°F indicate limited potential for rapid warming before the next forecast cycle.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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