Forecast models for Qingdao on August 22 point to a peak temperature near 29–30°C, driven by typical late-summer conditions over the Yellow Sea coast where sea breezes moderate daytime heating while light rain and thundery showers limit solar insolation. Recent runs show modest instability from residual monsoon moisture and weak low-level convergence, keeping the daily maximum from climbing much higher despite regional warmth. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 30°C and 31°C reflects uncertainty in exact timing of cloud cover and wind shifts, with higher outcomes like 32°C or above requiring clearer skies and stronger subsidence than current guidance supports. Historical August averages near 29°C provide baseline context, and any late model adjustments from the China Meteorological Administration could quickly shift trader consensus before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Qingdao on August 22?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on August 22?
30°C 32%
31°C 31%
32°C 17%
29°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 22, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
5%
29°C
12%
30°C
32%
31°C
31%
32°C
17%
33°C
4%
34°C or higher
2%
30°C 32%
31°C 31%
32°C 17%
29°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 22, 2026
24°C or below
$248 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$2 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$75 Vol.
1%
27°C
$38 Vol.
2%
28°C
$164 Vol.
5%
29°C
$207 Vol.
12%
30°C
$86 Vol.
32%
31°C
$266 Vol.
31%
32°C
$525 Vol.
17%
33°C
$255 Vol.
4%
34°C or higher
$236 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Qingdao on August 22 point to a peak temperature near 29–30°C, driven by typical late-summer conditions over the Yellow Sea coast where sea breezes moderate daytime heating while light rain and thundery showers limit solar insolation. Recent runs show modest instability from residual monsoon moisture and weak low-level convergence, keeping the daily maximum from climbing much higher despite regional warmth. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 30°C and 31°C reflects uncertainty in exact timing of cloud cover and wind shifts, with higher outcomes like 32°C or above requiring clearer skies and stronger subsidence than current guidance supports. Historical August averages near 29°C provide baseline context, and any late model adjustments from the China Meteorological Administration could quickly shift trader consensus before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$2,103End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Qingdao on August 22 point to a peak temperature near 29–30°C, driven by typical late-summer conditions over the Yellow Sea coast where sea breezes moderate daytime heating while light rain and thundery showers limit solar insolation. Recent runs show modest instability from residual monsoon moisture and weak low-level convergence, keeping the daily maximum from climbing much higher despite regional warmth. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 30°C and 31°C reflects uncertainty in exact timing of cloud cover and wind shifts, with higher outcomes like 32°C or above requiring clearer skies and stronger subsidence than current guidance supports. Historical August averages near 29°C provide baseline context, and any late model adjustments from the China Meteorological Administration could quickly shift trader consensus before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,103End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for Qingdao on August 22 point to a peak temperature near 29–30°C, driven by typical late-summer conditions over the Yellow Sea coast where sea breezes moderate daytime heating while light rain and thundery showers limit solar insolation. Recent runs show modest instability from residual monsoon moisture and weak low-level convergence, keeping the daily maximum from climbing much higher despite regional warmth. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 30°C and 31°C reflects uncertainty in exact timing of cloud cover and wind shifts, with higher outcomes like 32°C or above requiring clearer skies and stronger subsidence than current guidance supports. Historical August averages near 29°C provide baseline context, and any late model adjustments from the China Meteorological Administration could quickly shift trader consensus before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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