Forecast models for Mexico City on August 22 project daytime highs centered around 22–24°C amid the rainy season, with widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate northwest winds limiting solar heating at the city’s ~2,300 m elevation. Official guidance from sources like the Met Office and regional ensembles shows afternoon peaks near 23–24°C before precipitation increases, while some runs emphasize heavier rain and lower maxima around 21–22°C. Trader consensus clustering on 23–24°C reflects this narrow spread, as modest differences in cloud timing or convective intensity can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical August averages near 22–24°C provide context, with resolution hinging on official station observations at the peak hour.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 22?
24°C 35%
23°C 29%
25°C 17%
22°C 10%
20°C or below
2%
21°C
5%
22°C
10%
23°C
29%
24°C
35%
25°C
17%
26°C
6%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
1%
24°C 35%
23°C 29%
25°C 17%
22°C 10%
20°C or below
2%
21°C
5%
22°C
10%
23°C
29%
24°C
35%
25°C
17%
26°C
6%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 20, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for Mexico City on August 22 project daytime highs centered around 22–24°C amid the rainy season, with widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate northwest winds limiting solar heating at the city’s ~2,300 m elevation. Official guidance from sources like the Met Office and regional ensembles shows afternoon peaks near 23–24°C before precipitation increases, while some runs emphasize heavier rain and lower maxima around 21–22°C. Trader consensus clustering on 23–24°C reflects this narrow spread, as modest differences in cloud timing or convective intensity can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical August averages near 22–24°C provide context, with resolution hinging on official station observations at the peak hour.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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