Official Central Weather Administration forecasts for Taipei on August 21 project daytime highs of 27–35°C under subtropical high pressure, with ample solar heating and weak steering flow supporting peak temperatures near 34–35°C. Afternoon thundershowers, typical for late-summer Taiwan, introduce the main uncertainty by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling that can cap maxima at 33°C or allow brief spikes higher. Recent model consensus shows limited spread around these values, consistent with climatological August averages of 32–34°C and no major synoptic systems altering the pattern. Traders weighting the 33°C and 34°C outcomes equally at 28.5% each reflect this narrow forecast range and the influence of localized convective timing on exact resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on August 21?
Highest temperature in Taipei on August 21?
33°C 29%
34°C 29%
32°C 19%
35°C 16%
NEW
NEW
Aug 21, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
7%
32°C
19%
33°C
29%
34°C
29%
35°C
16%
36°C
7%
37°C
3%
38°C or higher
3%
33°C 29%
34°C 29%
32°C 19%
35°C 16%
NEW
NEW
Aug 21, 2026
28°C or below
$167 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$124 Vol.
1%
30°C
$586 Vol.
3%
31°C
$0 Vol.
7%
32°C
$0 Vol.
19%
33°C
$10 Vol.
29%
34°C
$48 Vol.
29%
35°C
$1 Vol.
16%
36°C
$40 Vol.
7%
37°C
$0 Vol.
3%
38°C or higher
$5 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Central Weather Administration forecasts for Taipei on August 21 project daytime highs of 27–35°C under subtropical high pressure, with ample solar heating and weak steering flow supporting peak temperatures near 34–35°C. Afternoon thundershowers, typical for late-summer Taiwan, introduce the main uncertainty by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling that can cap maxima at 33°C or allow brief spikes higher. Recent model consensus shows limited spread around these values, consistent with climatological August averages of 32–34°C and no major synoptic systems altering the pattern. Traders weighting the 33°C and 34°C outcomes equally at 28.5% each reflect this narrow forecast range and the influence of localized convective timing on exact resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$981End Date
Aug 21, 2026Market Opened
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Central Weather Administration forecasts for Taipei on August 21 project daytime highs of 27–35°C under subtropical high pressure, with ample solar heating and weak steering flow supporting peak temperatures near 34–35°C. Afternoon thundershowers, typical for late-summer Taiwan, introduce the main uncertainty by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling that can cap maxima at 33°C or allow brief spikes higher. Recent model consensus shows limited spread around these values, consistent with climatological August averages of 32–34°C and no major synoptic systems altering the pattern. Traders weighting the 33°C and 34°C outcomes equally at 28.5% each reflect this narrow forecast range and the influence of localized convective timing on exact resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$981End Date
Aug 21, 2026Market Opened
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Central Weather Administration forecasts for Taipei on August 21 project daytime highs of 27–35°C under subtropical high pressure, with ample solar heating and weak steering flow supporting peak temperatures near 34–35°C. Afternoon thundershowers, typical for late-summer Taiwan, introduce the main uncertainty by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling that can cap maxima at 33°C or allow brief spikes higher. Recent model consensus shows limited spread around these values, consistent with climatological August averages of 32–34°C and no major synoptic systems altering the pattern. Traders weighting the 33°C and 34°C outcomes equally at 28.5% each reflect this narrow forecast range and the influence of localized convective timing on exact resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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