**Trader sentiment for Karachi’s August 21 maximum temperature centers on typical late-monsoon conditions moderated by the Arabian Sea.** Current model guidance and Pakistan Meteorological Department outlooks indicate hot, humid weather with highs most likely in the 31–33 °C range, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 31 °C (35 %) and 32 °C (41 %). Persistent cloud cover, strong sea breezes, and possible isolated showers or thunderstorms can suppress peak heating, while clearer intervals allow brief rises toward 33 °C. Historical August averages near 31–32 °C and recent observations showing daily maxima of 28–33 °C further anchor expectations. The narrow spread between the top two outcomes reflects genuine uncertainty in the precise timing of cloud breaks and wind shifts over the next 48 hours, rather than any major forecast shift.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on August 21?
Highest temperature in Karachi on August 21?
32°C 41%
31°C 35%
33°C 19%
35°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 21, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
5%
30°C
4%
31°C
35%
32°C
41%
33°C
19%
34°C
4%
35°C
8%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 41%
31°C 35%
33°C 19%
35°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 21, 2026
27°C or below
$267 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$153 Vol.
1%
29°C
$32 Vol.
5%
30°C
$180 Vol.
4%
31°C
$394 Vol.
35%
32°C
$517 Vol.
41%
33°C
$344 Vol.
19%
34°C
$165 Vol.
4%
35°C
$32 Vol.
8%
36°C
$170 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$269 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Karachi’s August 21 maximum temperature centers on typical late-monsoon conditions moderated by the Arabian Sea.** Current model guidance and Pakistan Meteorological Department outlooks indicate hot, humid weather with highs most likely in the 31–33 °C range, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 31 °C (35 %) and 32 °C (41 %). Persistent cloud cover, strong sea breezes, and possible isolated showers or thunderstorms can suppress peak heating, while clearer intervals allow brief rises toward 33 °C. Historical August averages near 31–32 °C and recent observations showing daily maxima of 28–33 °C further anchor expectations. The narrow spread between the top two outcomes reflects genuine uncertainty in the precise timing of cloud breaks and wind shifts over the next 48 hours, rather than any major forecast shift.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$2,524End Date
Aug 21, 2026Market Opened
Aug 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Karachi’s August 21 maximum temperature centers on typical late-monsoon conditions moderated by the Arabian Sea.** Current model guidance and Pakistan Meteorological Department outlooks indicate hot, humid weather with highs most likely in the 31–33 °C range, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 31 °C (35 %) and 32 °C (41 %). Persistent cloud cover, strong sea breezes, and possible isolated showers or thunderstorms can suppress peak heating, while clearer intervals allow brief rises toward 33 °C. Historical August averages near 31–32 °C and recent observations showing daily maxima of 28–33 °C further anchor expectations. The narrow spread between the top two outcomes reflects genuine uncertainty in the precise timing of cloud breaks and wind shifts over the next 48 hours, rather than any major forecast shift.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,524End Date
Aug 21, 2026Market Opened
Aug 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Karachi’s August 21 maximum temperature centers on typical late-monsoon conditions moderated by the Arabian Sea.** Current model guidance and Pakistan Meteorological Department outlooks indicate hot, humid weather with highs most likely in the 31–33 °C range, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 31 °C (35 %) and 32 °C (41 %). Persistent cloud cover, strong sea breezes, and possible isolated showers or thunderstorms can suppress peak heating, while clearer intervals allow brief rises toward 33 °C. Historical August averages near 31–32 °C and recent observations showing daily maxima of 28–33 °C further anchor expectations. The narrow spread between the top two outcomes reflects genuine uncertainty in the precise timing of cloud breaks and wind shifts over the next 48 hours, rather than any major forecast shift.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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