Recent forecasts from the Met Office and BBC Weather converge on a daytime high of 35°C for Wuhan on August 21 amid partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and a chance of thundery showers. This supports the market's near-even split between 35°C and 36°C outcomes, as modest variations in cloud cover or precipitation timing could cap the peak temperature or allow brief radiative heating to push it higher. Wuhan's subtropical monsoon climate typically brings humid August conditions with average highs near 32°C, though convective activity often modulates extremes. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will clarify whether atmospheric stability or moisture levels shift the most probable range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on August 21?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on August 21?
35°C 37%
36°C 29%
34°C 17%
33°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 21, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
5%
33°C
10%
34°C
17%
35°C
37%
36°C
29%
37°C
6%
38°C
8%
39°C or higher
3%
35°C 37%
36°C 29%
34°C 17%
33°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 21, 2026
29°C or below
$235 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$237 Vol.
1%
31°C
$123 Vol.
1%
32°C
$35 Vol.
5%
33°C
$44 Vol.
10%
34°C
$0 Vol.
17%
35°C
$10 Vol.
37%
36°C
$0 Vol.
29%
37°C
$61 Vol.
6%
38°C
$0 Vol.
8%
39°C or higher
$5 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Met Office and BBC Weather converge on a daytime high of 35°C for Wuhan on August 21 amid partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and a chance of thundery showers. This supports the market's near-even split between 35°C and 36°C outcomes, as modest variations in cloud cover or precipitation timing could cap the peak temperature or allow brief radiative heating to push it higher. Wuhan's subtropical monsoon climate typically brings humid August conditions with average highs near 32°C, though convective activity often modulates extremes. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will clarify whether atmospheric stability or moisture levels shift the most probable range.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$751End Date
Aug 21, 2026Market Opened
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Met Office and BBC Weather converge on a daytime high of 35°C for Wuhan on August 21 amid partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and a chance of thundery showers. This supports the market's near-even split between 35°C and 36°C outcomes, as modest variations in cloud cover or precipitation timing could cap the peak temperature or allow brief radiative heating to push it higher. Wuhan's subtropical monsoon climate typically brings humid August conditions with average highs near 32°C, though convective activity often modulates extremes. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will clarify whether atmospheric stability or moisture levels shift the most probable range.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$751End Date
Aug 21, 2026Market Opened
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Met Office and BBC Weather converge on a daytime high of 35°C for Wuhan on August 21 amid partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and a chance of thundery showers. This supports the market's near-even split between 35°C and 36°C outcomes, as modest variations in cloud cover or precipitation timing could cap the peak temperature or allow brief radiative heating to push it higher. Wuhan's subtropical monsoon climate typically brings humid August conditions with average highs near 32°C, though convective activity often modulates extremes. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will clarify whether atmospheric stability or moisture levels shift the most probable range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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