Recent model runs from regional meteorological agencies indicate a tight range of possible daily maxima for Shenzhen on August 23 under typical late-summer subtropical monsoon conditions, with forecast highs clustered near 31–32 °C. High atmospheric moisture and scattered afternoon convection introduce key uncertainty: enhanced cloud cover or early thunderstorms can limit insolation and cap readings near 31 °C, while brief clearer intervals allow brief peaks at 32 °C or higher before showers develop. These factors explain the near-even trader weighting between the two leading outcomes, consistent with historical variability in daily maxima during the period when steering patterns and local sea-breeze effects remain variable. Updated model guidance and official Shenzhen station observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine resolution probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 23?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 23?
32°C 29%
31°C 29%
30°C 16%
33°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Aug 23, 2026
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
13%
30°C
16%
31°C
29%
32°C
29%
33°C
14%
34°C
7%
35°C or higher
1%
32°C 29%
31°C 29%
30°C 16%
33°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Aug 23, 2026
25°C or below
$176 Vol.
1%
26°C
$176 Vol.
1%
27°C
$277 Vol.
1%
28°C
$49 Vol.
4%
29°C
$45 Vol.
13%
30°C
$0 Vol.
16%
31°C
$0 Vol.
29%
32°C
$8 Vol.
29%
33°C
$0 Vol.
14%
34°C
$139 Vol.
7%
35°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs from regional meteorological agencies indicate a tight range of possible daily maxima for Shenzhen on August 23 under typical late-summer subtropical monsoon conditions, with forecast highs clustered near 31–32 °C. High atmospheric moisture and scattered afternoon convection introduce key uncertainty: enhanced cloud cover or early thunderstorms can limit insolation and cap readings near 31 °C, while brief clearer intervals allow brief peaks at 32 °C or higher before showers develop. These factors explain the near-even trader weighting between the two leading outcomes, consistent with historical variability in daily maxima during the period when steering patterns and local sea-breeze effects remain variable. Updated model guidance and official Shenzhen station observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine resolution probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$850End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs from regional meteorological agencies indicate a tight range of possible daily maxima for Shenzhen on August 23 under typical late-summer subtropical monsoon conditions, with forecast highs clustered near 31–32 °C. High atmospheric moisture and scattered afternoon convection introduce key uncertainty: enhanced cloud cover or early thunderstorms can limit insolation and cap readings near 31 °C, while brief clearer intervals allow brief peaks at 32 °C or higher before showers develop. These factors explain the near-even trader weighting between the two leading outcomes, consistent with historical variability in daily maxima during the period when steering patterns and local sea-breeze effects remain variable. Updated model guidance and official Shenzhen station observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine resolution probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$850End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model runs from regional meteorological agencies indicate a tight range of possible daily maxima for Shenzhen on August 23 under typical late-summer subtropical monsoon conditions, with forecast highs clustered near 31–32 °C. High atmospheric moisture and scattered afternoon convection introduce key uncertainty: enhanced cloud cover or early thunderstorms can limit insolation and cap readings near 31 °C, while brief clearer intervals allow brief peaks at 32 °C or higher before showers develop. These factors explain the near-even trader weighting between the two leading outcomes, consistent with historical variability in daily maxima during the period when steering patterns and local sea-breeze effects remain variable. Updated model guidance and official Shenzhen station observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine resolution probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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