Recent forecasts and climatological norms for coastal Karachi in late August position 32°C as the leading outcome, with trader consensus clustering around 31–33°C. Official guidance from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and model runs indicate typical daily highs of 31–33°C amid monsoon humidity, cloud cover, and sea-surface temperatures that limit daytime heating. A fourth monsoon spell expected around August 20–23 is likely to sustain partly cloudy conditions and scattered rainfall, moderating extremes while keeping readings near seasonal averages of 88–91°F. Above-normal temperatures are offset by below-normal rainfall and weak steering patterns, reducing upside risk to 34°C or higher. Short-range updates from AccuWeather and similar sources show limited day-to-day variability before resolution on August 23.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on August 23?
32°C 45%
31°C 28%
33°C 16%
30°C 10%
26°C or below
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
10%
31°C
28%
32°C
45%
33°C
16%
34°C
4%
35°C
3%
36°C or higher
1%
32°C 45%
31°C 28%
33°C 16%
30°C 10%
26°C or below
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
10%
31°C
28%
32°C
45%
33°C
16%
34°C
4%
35°C
3%
36°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts and climatological norms for coastal Karachi in late August position 32°C as the leading outcome, with trader consensus clustering around 31–33°C. Official guidance from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and model runs indicate typical daily highs of 31–33°C amid monsoon humidity, cloud cover, and sea-surface temperatures that limit daytime heating. A fourth monsoon spell expected around August 20–23 is likely to sustain partly cloudy conditions and scattered rainfall, moderating extremes while keeping readings near seasonal averages of 88–91°F. Above-normal temperatures are offset by below-normal rainfall and weak steering patterns, reducing upside risk to 34°C or higher. Short-range updates from AccuWeather and similar sources show limited day-to-day variability before resolution on August 23.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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