The active southwest monsoon phase, with persistent humidity and variable cloud cover over the Arabian Sea, is the dominant driver anchoring trader sentiment around 26–29°C lows for Karachi on August 23. High moisture content suppresses radiative cooling at night, while patchy rain and southwesterly winds can either moderate or slightly elevate minimum temperatures depending on timing and intensity. Model consensus from sources like the Pakistan Meteorological Department shows modest spread in precipitation forecasts over the next 48 hours, creating genuine uncertainty reflected in the broad probability distribution. Key variables include sea-surface temperatures influencing atmospheric moisture, urban heat retention in the city, and exact wind patterns that affect boundary-layer mixing; clearer skies could push readings toward 29–30°C, whereas heavier overnight showers favor cooler outcomes near 25°C. Short-range updates will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Karachi on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Karachi on August 23?
28°C 33%
27°C 19%
29°C 18%
26°C 18%
NEW
NEW
Aug 23, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
8%
24°C
15%
25°C
12%
26°C
18%
27°C
19%
28°C
33%
29°C
18%
30°C
7%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
28°C 33%
27°C 19%
29°C 18%
26°C 18%
NEW
NEW
Aug 23, 2026
22°C or below
$37 Vol.
1%
23°C
$21 Vol.
8%
24°C
$21 Vol.
15%
25°C
$0 Vol.
12%
26°C
$0 Vol.
18%
27°C
$18 Vol.
19%
28°C
$0 Vol.
33%
29°C
$0 Vol.
18%
30°C
$5 Vol.
7%
31°C
$27 Vol.
1%
32°C or higher
$37 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The active southwest monsoon phase, with persistent humidity and variable cloud cover over the Arabian Sea, is the dominant driver anchoring trader sentiment around 26–29°C lows for Karachi on August 23. High moisture content suppresses radiative cooling at night, while patchy rain and southwesterly winds can either moderate or slightly elevate minimum temperatures depending on timing and intensity. Model consensus from sources like the Pakistan Meteorological Department shows modest spread in precipitation forecasts over the next 48 hours, creating genuine uncertainty reflected in the broad probability distribution. Key variables include sea-surface temperatures influencing atmospheric moisture, urban heat retention in the city, and exact wind patterns that affect boundary-layer mixing; clearer skies could push readings toward 29–30°C, whereas heavier overnight showers favor cooler outcomes near 25°C. Short-range updates will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$164End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The active southwest monsoon phase, with persistent humidity and variable cloud cover over the Arabian Sea, is the dominant driver anchoring trader sentiment around 26–29°C lows for Karachi on August 23. High moisture content suppresses radiative cooling at night, while patchy rain and southwesterly winds can either moderate or slightly elevate minimum temperatures depending on timing and intensity. Model consensus from sources like the Pakistan Meteorological Department shows modest spread in precipitation forecasts over the next 48 hours, creating genuine uncertainty reflected in the broad probability distribution. Key variables include sea-surface temperatures influencing atmospheric moisture, urban heat retention in the city, and exact wind patterns that affect boundary-layer mixing; clearer skies could push readings toward 29–30°C, whereas heavier overnight showers favor cooler outcomes near 25°C. Short-range updates will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$164End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The active southwest monsoon phase, with persistent humidity and variable cloud cover over the Arabian Sea, is the dominant driver anchoring trader sentiment around 26–29°C lows for Karachi on August 23. High moisture content suppresses radiative cooling at night, while patchy rain and southwesterly winds can either moderate or slightly elevate minimum temperatures depending on timing and intensity. Model consensus from sources like the Pakistan Meteorological Department shows modest spread in precipitation forecasts over the next 48 hours, creating genuine uncertainty reflected in the broad probability distribution. Key variables include sea-surface temperatures influencing atmospheric moisture, urban heat retention in the city, and exact wind patterns that affect boundary-layer mixing; clearer skies could push readings toward 29–30°C, whereas heavier overnight showers favor cooler outcomes near 25°C. Short-range updates will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions