Current meteorological conditions and August climatology in Karachi strongly support minimum temperatures clustering around 26–27°C, aligning with the market's leading outcomes of 60% for 27°C and 34.5% for 26°C. As a coastal city influenced by the Arabian Sea, Karachi experiences moderated overnight cooling, with typical August lows near 26–27°C (79–81°F) due to high humidity, frequent monsoon cloud cover, and limited radiative heat loss. Recent forecasts indicate daytime highs near 28–31°C and overnight minima at or above 26°C, consistent with seasonal baselines and ongoing southwest monsoon patterns that suppress extreme drops. Model consensus from agencies like the Pakistan Meteorological Department shows no significant deviations from these norms, though localized showers could introduce minor variability before resolution. Traders' capital-weighted consensus thus reflects the narrow historical range and stable short-term guidance, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers below 25°C or above 28°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Karachi on August 21?
Lowest temperature in Karachi on August 21?
27°C 75%
24°C 60%
26°C 35%
25°C 26%
NEW
NEW
Aug 21, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
60%
25°C
26%
26°C
35%
27°C
68%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 75%
24°C 60%
26°C 35%
25°C 26%
NEW
NEW
Aug 21, 2026
22°C or below
$125 Vol.
1%
23°C
$88 Vol.
1%
24°C
$116 Vol.
60%
25°C
$90 Vol.
26%
26°C
$13 Vol.
35%
27°C
$20 Vol.
68%
28°C
$129 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$150 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$150 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$205 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$205 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological conditions and August climatology in Karachi strongly support minimum temperatures clustering around 26–27°C, aligning with the market's leading outcomes of 60% for 27°C and 34.5% for 26°C. As a coastal city influenced by the Arabian Sea, Karachi experiences moderated overnight cooling, with typical August lows near 26–27°C (79–81°F) due to high humidity, frequent monsoon cloud cover, and limited radiative heat loss. Recent forecasts indicate daytime highs near 28–31°C and overnight minima at or above 26°C, consistent with seasonal baselines and ongoing southwest monsoon patterns that suppress extreme drops. Model consensus from agencies like the Pakistan Meteorological Department shows no significant deviations from these norms, though localized showers could introduce minor variability before resolution. Traders' capital-weighted consensus thus reflects the narrow historical range and stable short-term guidance, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers below 25°C or above 28°C.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
Volume
$1,291End Date
Aug 21, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological conditions and August climatology in Karachi strongly support minimum temperatures clustering around 26–27°C, aligning with the market's leading outcomes of 60% for 27°C and 34.5% for 26°C. As a coastal city influenced by the Arabian Sea, Karachi experiences moderated overnight cooling, with typical August lows near 26–27°C (79–81°F) due to high humidity, frequent monsoon cloud cover, and limited radiative heat loss. Recent forecasts indicate daytime highs near 28–31°C and overnight minima at or above 26°C, consistent with seasonal baselines and ongoing southwest monsoon patterns that suppress extreme drops. Model consensus from agencies like the Pakistan Meteorological Department shows no significant deviations from these norms, though localized showers could introduce minor variability before resolution. Traders' capital-weighted consensus thus reflects the narrow historical range and stable short-term guidance, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers below 25°C or above 28°C.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,291End Date
Aug 21, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current meteorological conditions and August climatology in Karachi strongly support minimum temperatures clustering around 26–27°C, aligning with the market's leading outcomes of 60% for 27°C and 34.5% for 26°C. As a coastal city influenced by the Arabian Sea, Karachi experiences moderated overnight cooling, with typical August lows near 26–27°C (79–81°F) due to high humidity, frequent monsoon cloud cover, and limited radiative heat loss. Recent forecasts indicate daytime highs near 28–31°C and overnight minima at or above 26°C, consistent with seasonal baselines and ongoing southwest monsoon patterns that suppress extreme drops. Model consensus from agencies like the Pakistan Meteorological Department shows no significant deviations from these norms, though localized showers could introduce minor variability before resolution. Traders' capital-weighted consensus thus reflects the narrow historical range and stable short-term guidance, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers below 25°C or above 28°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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