Recent National Weather Service forecasts indicate morning low clouds and fog over Los Angeles County, clearing to sunny conditions on August 22 with afternoon highs in the mid-70s to low-80s near the coast and mid-80s to low-90s farther inland, driven by persistent onshore flow and a strong marine layer that moderates peak temperatures. This pattern aligns with climatological August norms under neutral-to-weak ENSO conditions, where the Pacific high and sea breezes typically cap daily maxima below extreme inland values. Model consensus shows limited variability in steering patterns or subsidence strength for the next 24–48 hours, supporting trader emphasis on the 80–83°F range as the most probable outcomes for the official reporting station while assigning low odds to 86°F+ thresholds. Updated guidance from the Los Angeles/Oxnard office will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 22?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 22?
80-81°F 36%
82-83°F 28%
78-79°F 16%
84-85°F 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 22, 2026
73°F or below
1%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
16%
80-81°F
36%
82-83°F
28%
84-85°F
8%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
1%
92°F or higher
1%
80-81°F 36%
82-83°F 28%
78-79°F 16%
84-85°F 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 22, 2026
73°F or below
$343 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$27 Vol.
3%
76-77°F
$42 Vol.
5%
78-79°F
$68 Vol.
16%
80-81°F
$77 Vol.
36%
82-83°F
$131 Vol.
28%
84-85°F
$99 Vol.
8%
86-87°F
$20 Vol.
3%
88-89°F
$30 Vol.
2%
90-91°F
$80 Vol.
1%
92°F or higher
$363 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts indicate morning low clouds and fog over Los Angeles County, clearing to sunny conditions on August 22 with afternoon highs in the mid-70s to low-80s near the coast and mid-80s to low-90s farther inland, driven by persistent onshore flow and a strong marine layer that moderates peak temperatures. This pattern aligns with climatological August norms under neutral-to-weak ENSO conditions, where the Pacific high and sea breezes typically cap daily maxima below extreme inland values. Model consensus shows limited variability in steering patterns or subsidence strength for the next 24–48 hours, supporting trader emphasis on the 80–83°F range as the most probable outcomes for the official reporting station while assigning low odds to 86°F+ thresholds. Updated guidance from the Los Angeles/Oxnard office will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 20, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volume
$1,281End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts indicate morning low clouds and fog over Los Angeles County, clearing to sunny conditions on August 22 with afternoon highs in the mid-70s to low-80s near the coast and mid-80s to low-90s farther inland, driven by persistent onshore flow and a strong marine layer that moderates peak temperatures. This pattern aligns with climatological August norms under neutral-to-weak ENSO conditions, where the Pacific high and sea breezes typically cap daily maxima below extreme inland values. Model consensus shows limited variability in steering patterns or subsidence strength for the next 24–48 hours, supporting trader emphasis on the 80–83°F range as the most probable outcomes for the official reporting station while assigning low odds to 86°F+ thresholds. Updated guidance from the Los Angeles/Oxnard office will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,281End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts indicate morning low clouds and fog over Los Angeles County, clearing to sunny conditions on August 22 with afternoon highs in the mid-70s to low-80s near the coast and mid-80s to low-90s farther inland, driven by persistent onshore flow and a strong marine layer that moderates peak temperatures. This pattern aligns with climatological August norms under neutral-to-weak ENSO conditions, where the Pacific high and sea breezes typically cap daily maxima below extreme inland values. Model consensus shows limited variability in steering patterns or subsidence strength for the next 24–48 hours, supporting trader emphasis on the 80–83°F range as the most probable outcomes for the official reporting station while assigning low odds to 86°F+ thresholds. Updated guidance from the Los Angeles/Oxnard office will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions