Recent forecast guidance from the UK Met Office and European models indicates a high near 21°C in Munich on August 21, driven by a shift to cooler northwesterly flow and increased cloud cover that limits daytime heating after warmer conditions on the 19th–20th. This positions the 21–22°C outcomes as market leaders, reflecting modest uncertainty in exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing that could nudge the peak one degree either way. Historical late-August climatology for southern Bavaria shows typical highs of 22–24°C under high pressure, but the current pattern favors suppressed maxima closer to seasonal norms. Updated model runs and official observations from the German Weather Service will refine resolution criteria before market settlement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on August 21?
Highest temperature in Munich on August 21?
21°C 31%
22°C 24%
20°C 16%
23°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 21, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
8%
20°C
16%
21°C
31%
22°C
24%
23°C
13%
24°C or higher
6%
21°C 31%
22°C 24%
20°C 16%
23°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 21, 2026
14°C or below
$433 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$439 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$389 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$2,093 Vol.
1%
18°C
$15 Vol.
3%
19°C
$103 Vol.
8%
20°C
$205 Vol.
16%
21°C
$70 Vol.
31%
22°C
$177 Vol.
24%
23°C
$170 Vol.
13%
24°C or higher
$603 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from the UK Met Office and European models indicates a high near 21°C in Munich on August 21, driven by a shift to cooler northwesterly flow and increased cloud cover that limits daytime heating after warmer conditions on the 19th–20th. This positions the 21–22°C outcomes as market leaders, reflecting modest uncertainty in exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing that could nudge the peak one degree either way. Historical late-August climatology for southern Bavaria shows typical highs of 22–24°C under high pressure, but the current pattern favors suppressed maxima closer to seasonal norms. Updated model runs and official observations from the German Weather Service will refine resolution criteria before market settlement.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$4,697End Date
Aug 21, 2026Market Opened
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from the UK Met Office and European models indicates a high near 21°C in Munich on August 21, driven by a shift to cooler northwesterly flow and increased cloud cover that limits daytime heating after warmer conditions on the 19th–20th. This positions the 21–22°C outcomes as market leaders, reflecting modest uncertainty in exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing that could nudge the peak one degree either way. Historical late-August climatology for southern Bavaria shows typical highs of 22–24°C under high pressure, but the current pattern favors suppressed maxima closer to seasonal norms. Updated model runs and official observations from the German Weather Service will refine resolution criteria before market settlement.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,697End Date
Aug 21, 2026Market Opened
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from the UK Met Office and European models indicates a high near 21°C in Munich on August 21, driven by a shift to cooler northwesterly flow and increased cloud cover that limits daytime heating after warmer conditions on the 19th–20th. This positions the 21–22°C outcomes as market leaders, reflecting modest uncertainty in exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing that could nudge the peak one degree either way. Historical late-August climatology for southern Bavaria shows typical highs of 22–24°C under high pressure, but the current pattern favors suppressed maxima closer to seasonal norms. Updated model runs and official observations from the German Weather Service will refine resolution criteria before market settlement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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