Current forecasts from major models show Qingdao under thundery showers and persistent cloud cover on August 22, with expected overnight lows clustered near 23–25°C due to high humidity, limited radiative cooling, and coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea. Ensemble spread arises mainly from variations in shower timing and wind patterns that could allow brief clear spells or enhance mixing, keeping the lowest reading within a narrow 2–3°C window. Historical August minima average near 23°C, but recent model runs favor slightly warmer values amid ongoing summer monsoon moisture. Traders appear to weight the tight consensus between 23°C and 25°C most heavily while assigning meaningful probability to 24°C as the mode. Updated runs from regional meteorological centers will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Qingdao on August 22?
Lowest temperature in Qingdao on August 22?
24°C 57%
23°C 31%
25°C 31%
20°C or below 27%
NEW
NEW
Aug 22, 2026
20°C or below
27%
21°C
24%
22°C
24%
23°C
31%
24°C
42%
25°C
31%
26°C
24%
27°C
24%
28°C
14%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
2%
24°C 57%
23°C 31%
25°C 31%
20°C or below 27%
NEW
NEW
Aug 22, 2026
20°C or below
$5 Vol.
27%
21°C
$5 Vol.
24%
22°C
$0 Vol.
24%
23°C
$1 Vol.
31%
24°C
$32 Vol.
42%
25°C
$0 Vol.
31%
26°C
$0 Vol.
24%
27°C
$0 Vol.
24%
28°C
$5 Vol.
14%
29°C
$16 Vol.
2%
30°C or higher
$16 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from major models show Qingdao under thundery showers and persistent cloud cover on August 22, with expected overnight lows clustered near 23–25°C due to high humidity, limited radiative cooling, and coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea. Ensemble spread arises mainly from variations in shower timing and wind patterns that could allow brief clear spells or enhance mixing, keeping the lowest reading within a narrow 2–3°C window. Historical August minima average near 23°C, but recent model runs favor slightly warmer values amid ongoing summer monsoon moisture. Traders appear to weight the tight consensus between 23°C and 25°C most heavily while assigning meaningful probability to 24°C as the mode. Updated runs from regional meteorological centers will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 20, 2026, 1:34 PM ET
Volume
$81End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 1:34 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from major models show Qingdao under thundery showers and persistent cloud cover on August 22, with expected overnight lows clustered near 23–25°C due to high humidity, limited radiative cooling, and coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea. Ensemble spread arises mainly from variations in shower timing and wind patterns that could allow brief clear spells or enhance mixing, keeping the lowest reading within a narrow 2–3°C window. Historical August minima average near 23°C, but recent model runs favor slightly warmer values amid ongoing summer monsoon moisture. Traders appear to weight the tight consensus between 23°C and 25°C most heavily while assigning meaningful probability to 24°C as the mode. Updated runs from regional meteorological centers will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$81End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 1:34 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from major models show Qingdao under thundery showers and persistent cloud cover on August 22, with expected overnight lows clustered near 23–25°C due to high humidity, limited radiative cooling, and coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea. Ensemble spread arises mainly from variations in shower timing and wind patterns that could allow brief clear spells or enhance mixing, keeping the lowest reading within a narrow 2–3°C window. Historical August minima average near 23°C, but recent model runs favor slightly warmer values amid ongoing summer monsoon moisture. Traders appear to weight the tight consensus between 23°C and 25°C most heavily while assigning meaningful probability to 24°C as the mode. Updated runs from regional meteorological centers will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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