Persistent extreme heat and model consensus drive trader sentiment toward overnight lows in the low-to-mid 80s°F for Dallas on August 22. National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble guidance indicate mostly clear skies with south winds of 5–10 mph, limiting radiative cooling after daytime highs near 106–110°F. Warm advection from the Gulf, elevated dew points around 65–70°F, and minimal cloud cover or precipitation keep surface temperatures elevated overnight. Historical August averages near 77°F underscore the anomaly, while slight model variations in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind speeds create the tight clustering around 82–87°F bins. Traders weigh these factors against any late forecast shifts from updated runs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Dallas on August 22?
Lowest temperature in Dallas on August 22?
86-87°F 47%
84-85°F 45%
82-83°F 45%
88-89°F 44%
NEW
NEW
Aug 22, 2026
75°F or below
1%
76-77°F
8%
78-79°F
12%
80-81°F
43%
82-83°F
45%
84-85°F
45%
86-87°F
47%
88-89°F
44%
90-91°F
8%
92-93°F
18%
94°F or higher
1%
86-87°F 47%
84-85°F 45%
82-83°F 45%
88-89°F 44%
NEW
NEW
Aug 22, 2026
75°F or below
$22 Vol.
1%
76-77°F
$22 Vol.
8%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
12%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
43%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
45%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
45%
86-87°F
$0 Vol.
47%
88-89°F
$0 Vol.
44%
90-91°F
$22 Vol.
8%
92-93°F
$22 Vol.
18%
94°F or higher
$22 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent extreme heat and model consensus drive trader sentiment toward overnight lows in the low-to-mid 80s°F for Dallas on August 22. National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble guidance indicate mostly clear skies with south winds of 5–10 mph, limiting radiative cooling after daytime highs near 106–110°F. Warm advection from the Gulf, elevated dew points around 65–70°F, and minimal cloud cover or precipitation keep surface temperatures elevated overnight. Historical August averages near 77°F underscore the anomaly, while slight model variations in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind speeds create the tight clustering around 82–87°F bins. Traders weigh these factors against any late forecast shifts from updated runs.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 20, 2026, 8:29 PM ET
Volume
$109End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 8:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent extreme heat and model consensus drive trader sentiment toward overnight lows in the low-to-mid 80s°F for Dallas on August 22. National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble guidance indicate mostly clear skies with south winds of 5–10 mph, limiting radiative cooling after daytime highs near 106–110°F. Warm advection from the Gulf, elevated dew points around 65–70°F, and minimal cloud cover or precipitation keep surface temperatures elevated overnight. Historical August averages near 77°F underscore the anomaly, while slight model variations in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind speeds create the tight clustering around 82–87°F bins. Traders weigh these factors against any late forecast shifts from updated runs.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$109End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 8:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent extreme heat and model consensus drive trader sentiment toward overnight lows in the low-to-mid 80s°F for Dallas on August 22. National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble guidance indicate mostly clear skies with south winds of 5–10 mph, limiting radiative cooling after daytime highs near 106–110°F. Warm advection from the Gulf, elevated dew points around 65–70°F, and minimal cloud cover or precipitation keep surface temperatures elevated overnight. Historical August averages near 77°F underscore the anomaly, while slight model variations in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind speeds create the tight clustering around 82–87°F bins. Traders weigh these factors against any late forecast shifts from updated runs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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