Persistent monsoon-driven humidity and widespread cloud cover with thunderstorms across Qingdao on August 21 are limiting overnight radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures in the narrow 23–26°C range favored by traders. High dew points near 25–27°C and light southeast winds reduce the diurnal temperature swing, while coastal marine influences moderate extremes compared to inland areas. Official forecasts from regional models show daily lows clustered around 24–26°C amid 80–95% humidity, with minor divergences in precipitation timing or cloud breaks creating the tight spread between 23°C, 24°C, and 25°C outcomes. Historical August averages near 23°C provide context, but current conditions suppress further drops below 22°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Qingdao on August 21?
Lowest temperature in Qingdao on August 21?
22°C 60%
21°C 44%
25°C 35%
23°C 34%
NEW
NEW
Aug 21, 2026
19°C or below
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
44%
22°C
60%
23°C
34%
24°C
34%
25°C
35%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
22°C 60%
21°C 44%
25°C 35%
23°C 34%
NEW
NEW
Aug 21, 2026
19°C or below
$49 Vol.
1%
20°C
$28 Vol.
1%
21°C
$98 Vol.
44%
22°C
$100 Vol.
60%
23°C
$0 Vol.
34%
24°C
$0 Vol.
34%
25°C
$0 Vol.
35%
26°C
$95 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$105 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$95 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$95 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent monsoon-driven humidity and widespread cloud cover with thunderstorms across Qingdao on August 21 are limiting overnight radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures in the narrow 23–26°C range favored by traders. High dew points near 25–27°C and light southeast winds reduce the diurnal temperature swing, while coastal marine influences moderate extremes compared to inland areas. Official forecasts from regional models show daily lows clustered around 24–26°C amid 80–95% humidity, with minor divergences in precipitation timing or cloud breaks creating the tight spread between 23°C, 24°C, and 25°C outcomes. Historical August averages near 23°C provide context, but current conditions suppress further drops below 22°C.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
Volume
$665End Date
Aug 21, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent monsoon-driven humidity and widespread cloud cover with thunderstorms across Qingdao on August 21 are limiting overnight radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures in the narrow 23–26°C range favored by traders. High dew points near 25–27°C and light southeast winds reduce the diurnal temperature swing, while coastal marine influences moderate extremes compared to inland areas. Official forecasts from regional models show daily lows clustered around 24–26°C amid 80–95% humidity, with minor divergences in precipitation timing or cloud breaks creating the tight spread between 23°C, 24°C, and 25°C outcomes. Historical August averages near 23°C provide context, but current conditions suppress further drops below 22°C.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$665End Date
Aug 21, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent monsoon-driven humidity and widespread cloud cover with thunderstorms across Qingdao on August 21 are limiting overnight radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures in the narrow 23–26°C range favored by traders. High dew points near 25–27°C and light southeast winds reduce the diurnal temperature swing, while coastal marine influences moderate extremes compared to inland areas. Official forecasts from regional models show daily lows clustered around 24–26°C amid 80–95% humidity, with minor divergences in precipitation timing or cloud breaks creating the tight spread between 23°C, 24°C, and 25°C outcomes. Historical August averages near 23°C provide context, but current conditions suppress further drops below 22°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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