Recent Central Weather Administration forecasts for Taipei project a high of 33°C on August 22 amid a persistent low-pressure system expected to deliver showers and thunderstorms through the weekend, keeping maximum temperatures near seasonal August averages of 32–33°C. This underpins the market’s leading 33°C outcome at 32.5% implied probability, with nearby 32°C and 34°C shares reflecting model divergence on cloud cover, rainfall timing, and localized urban heat effects. Distant Tropical Storm Saudel adds longer-term steering uncertainty but is unlikely to influence the immediate period. The broad outcome distribution highlights genuine short-term forecast variability typical for subtropical summer conditions, with updated model runs and CWA briefings over the next 48 hours likely to sharpen resolution criteria around daily maximum readings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on August 22?
Highest temperature in Taipei on August 22?
33°C 33%
32°C 21%
34°C 21%
35°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 22, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
9%
32°C
21%
33°C
33%
34°C
21%
35°C
11%
36°C
5%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 33%
32°C 21%
34°C 21%
35°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 22, 2026
27°C or below
$596 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$140 Vol.
1%
29°C
$5 Vol.
2%
30°C
$15 Vol.
4%
31°C
$0 Vol.
9%
32°C
$49 Vol.
21%
33°C
$358 Vol.
33%
34°C
$200 Vol.
21%
35°C
$175 Vol.
11%
36°C
$25 Vol.
5%
37°C or higher
$12 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Central Weather Administration forecasts for Taipei project a high of 33°C on August 22 amid a persistent low-pressure system expected to deliver showers and thunderstorms through the weekend, keeping maximum temperatures near seasonal August averages of 32–33°C. This underpins the market’s leading 33°C outcome at 32.5% implied probability, with nearby 32°C and 34°C shares reflecting model divergence on cloud cover, rainfall timing, and localized urban heat effects. Distant Tropical Storm Saudel adds longer-term steering uncertainty but is unlikely to influence the immediate period. The broad outcome distribution highlights genuine short-term forecast variability typical for subtropical summer conditions, with updated model runs and CWA briefings over the next 48 hours likely to sharpen resolution criteria around daily maximum readings.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$1,575End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Central Weather Administration forecasts for Taipei project a high of 33°C on August 22 amid a persistent low-pressure system expected to deliver showers and thunderstorms through the weekend, keeping maximum temperatures near seasonal August averages of 32–33°C. This underpins the market’s leading 33°C outcome at 32.5% implied probability, with nearby 32°C and 34°C shares reflecting model divergence on cloud cover, rainfall timing, and localized urban heat effects. Distant Tropical Storm Saudel adds longer-term steering uncertainty but is unlikely to influence the immediate period. The broad outcome distribution highlights genuine short-term forecast variability typical for subtropical summer conditions, with updated model runs and CWA briefings over the next 48 hours likely to sharpen resolution criteria around daily maximum readings.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,575End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Central Weather Administration forecasts for Taipei project a high of 33°C on August 22 amid a persistent low-pressure system expected to deliver showers and thunderstorms through the weekend, keeping maximum temperatures near seasonal August averages of 32–33°C. This underpins the market’s leading 33°C outcome at 32.5% implied probability, with nearby 32°C and 34°C shares reflecting model divergence on cloud cover, rainfall timing, and localized urban heat effects. Distant Tropical Storm Saudel adds longer-term steering uncertainty but is unlikely to influence the immediate period. The broad outcome distribution highlights genuine short-term forecast variability typical for subtropical summer conditions, with updated model runs and CWA briefings over the next 48 hours likely to sharpen resolution criteria around daily maximum readings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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