Recent forecast guidance from multiple models points to overnight lows in Paris on August 24 near the historical average of 13.9°C, driving the market's concentration around 13–15°C. Clear to partly cloudy conditions under moderate northeasterly flow will allow efficient radiative cooling after daytime highs of 24–27°C, with dew points near 9–11°C limiting additional moisture effects. Ensemble consensus shows minimal spread, reflecting stable high-pressure influence and no incoming fronts or significant cloud cover that would elevate minima. This aligns with recent observations of 13–14°C lows on preceding nights and supports the leading implied probabilities near the climatological baseline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Paris on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 24?
14°C 38%
13°C 27%
15°C 18%
12°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
11°C or below
6%
12°C
9%
13°C
27%
14°C
38%
15°C
18%
16°C
9%
17°C
6%
18°C
4%
19°C
5%
20°C
5%
21°C or higher
3%
14°C 38%
13°C 27%
15°C 18%
12°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
11°C or below
$4 Vol.
6%
12°C
$0 Vol.
9%
13°C
$0 Vol.
27%
14°C
$0 Vol.
38%
15°C
$0 Vol.
18%
16°C
$0 Vol.
9%
17°C
$0 Vol.
6%
18°C
$0 Vol.
4%
19°C
$5 Vol.
5%
20°C
$5 Vol.
5%
21°C or higher
$5 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from multiple models points to overnight lows in Paris on August 24 near the historical average of 13.9°C, driving the market's concentration around 13–15°C. Clear to partly cloudy conditions under moderate northeasterly flow will allow efficient radiative cooling after daytime highs of 24–27°C, with dew points near 9–11°C limiting additional moisture effects. Ensemble consensus shows minimal spread, reflecting stable high-pressure influence and no incoming fronts or significant cloud cover that would elevate minima. This aligns with recent observations of 13–14°C lows on preceding nights and supports the leading implied probabilities near the climatological baseline.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ET
Volume
$19End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from multiple models points to overnight lows in Paris on August 24 near the historical average of 13.9°C, driving the market's concentration around 13–15°C. Clear to partly cloudy conditions under moderate northeasterly flow will allow efficient radiative cooling after daytime highs of 24–27°C, with dew points near 9–11°C limiting additional moisture effects. Ensemble consensus shows minimal spread, reflecting stable high-pressure influence and no incoming fronts or significant cloud cover that would elevate minima. This aligns with recent observations of 13–14°C lows on preceding nights and supports the leading implied probabilities near the climatological baseline.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$19End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from multiple models points to overnight lows in Paris on August 24 near the historical average of 13.9°C, driving the market's concentration around 13–15°C. Clear to partly cloudy conditions under moderate northeasterly flow will allow efficient radiative cooling after daytime highs of 24–27°C, with dew points near 9–11°C limiting additional moisture effects. Ensemble consensus shows minimal spread, reflecting stable high-pressure influence and no incoming fronts or significant cloud cover that would elevate minima. This aligns with recent observations of 13–14°C lows on preceding nights and supports the leading implied probabilities near the climatological baseline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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