Recent forecasts from sources including the BBC and regional models indicate a cooling trend into the weekend, with partly cloudy skies and possible showers positioning overnight lows in Paris near 12–13°C on August 22. These conditions stem from a shift toward more northerly flow and increased cloud cover, which limits daytime heating while moderating radiative cooling overnight. Historical August climatology shows typical minima of 14–15°C, but the current pattern favors values at or below that baseline. Trader consensus, reflected in the 47.5% implied probability for 12°C and 33.5% for 13°C, aligns with this consensus guidance, though model spreads and any last-minute shifts in steering flow could still alter the exact minimum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Paris on August 22?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 22?
12°C 49%
13°C 34%
11°C 14%
14°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 22, 2026
9°C or below
4%
10°C
3%
11°C
14%
12°C
49%
13°C
34%
14°C
5%
15°C
2%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
12°C 49%
13°C 34%
11°C 14%
14°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 22, 2026
9°C or below
$0 Vol.
4%
10°C
$50 Vol.
3%
11°C
$62 Vol.
14%
12°C
$1,170 Vol.
49%
13°C
$164 Vol.
34%
14°C
$60 Vol.
5%
15°C
$337 Vol.
2%
16°C
$5 Vol.
1%
17°C
$10 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$73 Vol.
<1%
19°C or higher
$18 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the BBC and regional models indicate a cooling trend into the weekend, with partly cloudy skies and possible showers positioning overnight lows in Paris near 12–13°C on August 22. These conditions stem from a shift toward more northerly flow and increased cloud cover, which limits daytime heating while moderating radiative cooling overnight. Historical August climatology shows typical minima of 14–15°C, but the current pattern favors values at or below that baseline. Trader consensus, reflected in the 47.5% implied probability for 12°C and 33.5% for 13°C, aligns with this consensus guidance, though model spreads and any last-minute shifts in steering flow could still alter the exact minimum.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$1,949End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the BBC and regional models indicate a cooling trend into the weekend, with partly cloudy skies and possible showers positioning overnight lows in Paris near 12–13°C on August 22. These conditions stem from a shift toward more northerly flow and increased cloud cover, which limits daytime heating while moderating radiative cooling overnight. Historical August climatology shows typical minima of 14–15°C, but the current pattern favors values at or below that baseline. Trader consensus, reflected in the 47.5% implied probability for 12°C and 33.5% for 13°C, aligns with this consensus guidance, though model spreads and any last-minute shifts in steering flow could still alter the exact minimum.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,949End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including the BBC and regional models indicate a cooling trend into the weekend, with partly cloudy skies and possible showers positioning overnight lows in Paris near 12–13°C on August 22. These conditions stem from a shift toward more northerly flow and increased cloud cover, which limits daytime heating while moderating radiative cooling overnight. Historical August climatology shows typical minima of 14–15°C, but the current pattern favors values at or below that baseline. Trader consensus, reflected in the 47.5% implied probability for 12°C and 33.5% for 13°C, aligns with this consensus guidance, though model spreads and any last-minute shifts in steering flow could still alter the exact minimum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions