Recent forecasts from models and agencies indicate overnight lows in Shanghai on August 22 will likely settle near 26–27°C amid typical late-summer humidity, scattered thundershowers, and easterly flow without significant frontal cooling or typhoon influence. This positions 27°C as the market leader, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble guidance showing minimal deviation from seasonal baselines around 25–26°C. Persistent subtropical conditions and high moisture content limit sharper drops, while any heavier rainfall could nudge minima slightly higher. Updated China Meteorological Administration and global model runs over the next 48 hours represent the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 22?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 22?
27°C 55%
28°C 14%
26°C 14%
24°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 22, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
6%
25°C
6%
26°C
14%
27°C
55%
28°C
14%
29°C
3%
30°C
4%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 55%
28°C 14%
26°C 14%
24°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 22, 2026
22°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$10 Vol.
1%
24°C
$10 Vol.
6%
25°C
$13 Vol.
6%
26°C
$13 Vol.
14%
27°C
$85 Vol.
55%
28°C
$13 Vol.
14%
29°C
$108 Vol.
3%
30°C
$10 Vol.
4%
31°C
$5 Vol.
1%
32°C or higher
$12 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models and agencies indicate overnight lows in Shanghai on August 22 will likely settle near 26–27°C amid typical late-summer humidity, scattered thundershowers, and easterly flow without significant frontal cooling or typhoon influence. This positions 27°C as the market leader, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble guidance showing minimal deviation from seasonal baselines around 25–26°C. Persistent subtropical conditions and high moisture content limit sharper drops, while any heavier rainfall could nudge minima slightly higher. Updated China Meteorological Administration and global model runs over the next 48 hours represent the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$279End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models and agencies indicate overnight lows in Shanghai on August 22 will likely settle near 26–27°C amid typical late-summer humidity, scattered thundershowers, and easterly flow without significant frontal cooling or typhoon influence. This positions 27°C as the market leader, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble guidance showing minimal deviation from seasonal baselines around 25–26°C. Persistent subtropical conditions and high moisture content limit sharper drops, while any heavier rainfall could nudge minima slightly higher. Updated China Meteorological Administration and global model runs over the next 48 hours represent the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$279End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models and agencies indicate overnight lows in Shanghai on August 22 will likely settle near 26–27°C amid typical late-summer humidity, scattered thundershowers, and easterly flow without significant frontal cooling or typhoon influence. This positions 27°C as the market leader, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble guidance showing minimal deviation from seasonal baselines around 25–26°C. Persistent subtropical conditions and high moisture content limit sharper drops, while any heavier rainfall could nudge minima slightly higher. Updated China Meteorological Administration and global model runs over the next 48 hours represent the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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