Recent ensemble forecasts from models including ECMWF and GFS indicate Milan overnight lows of 20–22°C on August 24 under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and minimal radiative cooling. Thunderstorm chances rise later in the period but are unlikely to produce sharp temperature drops, while recent observations show August minima near 19°C. The near-even split between the 22°C-or-higher and colder bins reflects remaining uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and any localized cloud cover that could alter the daily minimum by 1–2°C. Updated high-resolution runs and official Italian meteorological guidance expected over the next 24–48 hours will clarify whether the minimum settles above or below 20°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Milan on August 24?
12°C or below 94%
22°C or higher 93%
13°C 36%
20°C 36%
12°C or below
94%
13°C
36%
14°C
19%
15°C
19%
16°C
19%
17°C
19%
18°C
21%
19°C
20%
20°C
36%
21°C
36%
22°C or higher
93%
12°C or below 94%
22°C or higher 93%
13°C 36%
20°C 36%
12°C or below
94%
13°C
36%
14°C
19%
15°C
19%
16°C
19%
17°C
19%
18°C
21%
19°C
20%
20°C
36%
21°C
36%
22°C or higher
93%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from models including ECMWF and GFS indicate Milan overnight lows of 20–22°C on August 24 under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and minimal radiative cooling. Thunderstorm chances rise later in the period but are unlikely to produce sharp temperature drops, while recent observations show August minima near 19°C. The near-even split between the 22°C-or-higher and colder bins reflects remaining uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and any localized cloud cover that could alter the daily minimum by 1–2°C. Updated high-resolution runs and official Italian meteorological guidance expected over the next 24–48 hours will clarify whether the minimum settles above or below 20°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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