Recent model runs from major forecasting centers indicate Istanbul will remain under a stable high-pressure regime with moderate northeasterly winds and limited cloud cover through August 24, favoring typical late-summer overnight radiative cooling. Minimum temperatures are currently projected near 21–23 °C, placing the outcome near the middle of the distribution. Differentiating the closely matched low (≤18 °C) versus high (≥28 °C) market leaders hinges on small uncertainties in boundary-layer moisture, wind speed, and any last-minute shift in the steering flow that could enhance or suppress nocturnal cooling. Updated ensemble guidance and official Turkish Meteorological Service briefings expected within the next 24 hours will narrow the range and likely drive sharper price adjustments as resolution approaches.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Istanbul on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Istanbul on August 24?
18°C or below 96%
28°C or higher 94%
19°C 37%
25°C 37%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
18°C or below
96%
19°C
37%
20°C
19%
21°C
19%
22°C
19%
23°C
19%
24°C
19%
25°C
37%
26°C
2%
27°C
37%
28°C or higher
94%
18°C or below 96%
28°C or higher 94%
19°C 37%
25°C 37%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
18°C or below
$5 Vol.
96%
19°C
$5 Vol.
37%
20°C
$0 Vol.
19%
21°C
$0 Vol.
19%
22°C
$0 Vol.
19%
23°C
$0 Vol.
19%
24°C
$0 Vol.
19%
25°C
$5 Vol.
37%
26°C
$5 Vol.
2%
27°C
$5 Vol.
37%
28°C or higher
$5 Vol.
94%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs from major forecasting centers indicate Istanbul will remain under a stable high-pressure regime with moderate northeasterly winds and limited cloud cover through August 24, favoring typical late-summer overnight radiative cooling. Minimum temperatures are currently projected near 21–23 °C, placing the outcome near the middle of the distribution. Differentiating the closely matched low (≤18 °C) versus high (≥28 °C) market leaders hinges on small uncertainties in boundary-layer moisture, wind speed, and any last-minute shift in the steering flow that could enhance or suppress nocturnal cooling. Updated ensemble guidance and official Turkish Meteorological Service briefings expected within the next 24 hours will narrow the range and likely drive sharper price adjustments as resolution approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ET
Volume
$30End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs from major forecasting centers indicate Istanbul will remain under a stable high-pressure regime with moderate northeasterly winds and limited cloud cover through August 24, favoring typical late-summer overnight radiative cooling. Minimum temperatures are currently projected near 21–23 °C, placing the outcome near the middle of the distribution. Differentiating the closely matched low (≤18 °C) versus high (≥28 °C) market leaders hinges on small uncertainties in boundary-layer moisture, wind speed, and any last-minute shift in the steering flow that could enhance or suppress nocturnal cooling. Updated ensemble guidance and official Turkish Meteorological Service briefings expected within the next 24 hours will narrow the range and likely drive sharper price adjustments as resolution approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$30End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model runs from major forecasting centers indicate Istanbul will remain under a stable high-pressure regime with moderate northeasterly winds and limited cloud cover through August 24, favoring typical late-summer overnight radiative cooling. Minimum temperatures are currently projected near 21–23 °C, placing the outcome near the middle of the distribution. Differentiating the closely matched low (≤18 °C) versus high (≥28 °C) market leaders hinges on small uncertainties in boundary-layer moisture, wind speed, and any last-minute shift in the steering flow that could enhance or suppress nocturnal cooling. Updated ensemble guidance and official Turkish Meteorological Service briefings expected within the next 24 hours will narrow the range and likely drive sharper price adjustments as resolution approaches.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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